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A/PROF Trent Penman

Positions

Academic, Ecosystem and Forest Sciences

Affiliation

Member of

Australasian Bayesian Network Modelling Society. President Elect 2014 2010 - 2020

Publications

Selected publications

2019
- Journal Articles
  - Aboveground forest carbon shows different responses to fire frequency in harvested and unharvested forests. Ecological Applications. 29. 2019
  - Advances in Bayesian network modelling: Integration of modelling technologies. Environmental Modelling and Software. 111. 2019
  - Determining burnability: Predicting completion rates and coverage of prescribed burns for fuel management. Forest Ecology and Management. 433. 2019
  - Developing and testing models of the drivers of anthropogenic and lightning-caused wildfire ignitions in south-eastern Australia. Journal of Environmental Management. 235. 2019
  - Pathways of change: Predicting the effects of fire on flammability. Journal of Environmental Management. 232. 2019
2018
- Journal Articles
  - Factors influencing above-ground and soil seed bank vegetation diversity at different scales in a quasi-Mediterranean ecosystem. Journal of Vegetation Science. 29. 2018
  - Improving Fire Behaviour Data Obtained from Wildfires. Forests. 9. 2018
  - Quantifying wildfire growth rates using smoke ume observations derived from weather radar. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 27. 2018
  - Suppression resource decisions are the dominant influence on containment of Australian forest and grass fires. Journal of Environmental Management. 228. 2018
  - The relationship between environmental variables, detection probability and site occupancy by Tasmanian nocturnal birds, including the Tasmanian masked owl (Tyto novaehollandiae castanops). Australian Journal of Zoology. 66. 2018
  - The role of defensible space on the likelihood of house impact from wildfires in forested landscapes of south eastern Australia. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 2018
  - The threatened status of the hollow dependent arboreal marsupial, the Greater Glider (Petauroides volans), can be explained by impacts from wildfire and selective logging. Forest Ecology and Management. 415. 2018
  - Wildfire in wet sclerophyll forests: the interplay between disturbances and fuel dynamics. Ecosphere. 9. 2018
2017
- Journal Articles
  - Bayesian networks elucidate interactions between fire and other drivers of terrestrial fauna distributions. Ecosphere. 8. 2017
  - Fuel moisture in Mountain Ash forests with contrasting fire histories. Forest Ecology and Management. 400. 2017
  - Is there an inherent conflict in managing fire for people and conservation?. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 26. 2017
  - RevisitingWildland Fire Fuel Quantification Methods: The Challenge of Understanding a Dynamic, Biotic Entity. Forests. 8. 2017
  - Visual Assessment of Surface Fuel Loads Does Not Align with Destructively Sampled Surface Fuels. Forests. 8. 2017
- Journal Articles Refereed
  - Retrofitting for wildfire resilience: What is the cost?. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 21. 2017
2016
- Journal Articles
  - AMPHIBIAN ABUNDANCE AND DETECTION TRENDS DURING A LARGE FLOOD IN A SEMI-ARID FLOODPLAIN WETLAND 2016
  - Ranging behaviour and movements of the red fox in remnant forest habitats. Wildlife Research. 43. 2016
- Journal Articles Refereed
  - Biophysical Mechanistic Modelling Quantifies the Effects of Plant Traits on Fire Severity: Species, Not Surface Fuel Loads, Determine Flame Dimensions in Eucalypt Forests. PLoS One. 11. 2016
  - Control of the red fox in remnant forest habitats. Wildlife Research. 43. 2016
  - Determinants of growth of the flammable grass, Triodia scariosa: Consequences for fuel dynamics under climate change in the Mediterranean region of South Eastern Australia. Austral Ecology. 41. 2016
  - Environmental values and fire hazard of eucalypt plantings. Ecosphere. 7. 2016
  - How much does it cost residents to prepare their property for wildfire?. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 16. 2016
  - Into the firing line: civilian ingress during the 2013 "Red October" bushfires, Australia. Natural Hazards. 80. 2016
  - Resolving future fire management conflicts using multicriteria decision making. Conservation Biology. 30. 2016
  - Responses of resilience traits to gradients of temperature, rainfall and fire frequency in fire-prone, Australian forests: potential consequences of climate change. Plant Ecology. 217. 2016
  - Some Wildfire Ignition Causes Pose More Risk of Destroying Houses than Others. PLoS One. 11. 2016
  - The drivers of wildfire enlargement do not exhibit scale thresholds in southeastern Australian forests. Journal of Environmental Management. 181. 2016
  - Wildfire survival plans in theory and practice. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 25. 2016
2015
- Journal Articles Refereed
  - Adding fuel to the fire? Revegetation influences wildfire size and intensity. Journal of Environmental Management. 150. 2015
  - An empirical wildfire risk analysis: the probability of a fire spreading to the urban interface in Sydney, Australia. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24. 2015
  - Biogeographical variation in the potential effectiveness of prescribed fire in south-eastern Australia. Journal of Biogeography. 42. 2015
  - Climatic, vegetation and edaphic influences on the probability of fire across mediterranean woodlands of south-eastern Australia. Journal of Biogeography. 42. 2015
  - Interactive effects of climate change and fire on metapopulation viability of a forest-dependent frog in south-eastern Australia. Biological Conservation. 190. 2015
  - Long-term changes in food availability mediate the effects of temperature on growth, development and survival in striped marsh frog larvae: implications for captive breeding programmes 2015
  - Optimizing ultrasonic sampling effort for monitoring forest bats. Austral Ecology. 40. 2015
  - Reducing the risk of house loss due to wildfires. Environmental Modelling and Software. 67. 2015
  - Spatial patterns of wildfire ignitions in south-eastern Australia. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24. 2015
  - Using MODIS data to analyse post-fire vegetation recovery in Australian eucalypt forests. Journal of Spatial Science. 60. 2015
- Conference Proceedings
  - A fire regime risk management tool 2015
2014
- Journal Articles Refereed
  - Avian responses to the diversity and configuration of fire age classes and vegetation types across a rainfall gradient. Forest Ecology and Management. 318. 2014
  - Can precipitation influence landscape controls on wildfire severity? A case study within temperate eucalypt forests of south-eastern Australia. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 23. 2014
  - Changing dominance of key plant species across a Mediterranean climate region: implications for fuel types and future fire regimes. Plant Ecology. 215. 2014
  - Contrasting habitat use of morphologically similar bat species with differing conservation status in south-eastern Australia. Austral Ecology. 39. 2014
  - Detecting Extinction Risk from Climate Change by IUCN Red List Criteria. Conservation Biology. 28. 2014
  - Detecting Extinction Risk from Climate Change by IUCN Red List Criteria 2014
  - Divergent responses of fire to recent warming and drying across south-eastern Australia. Global Change Biology. 20. 2014
  - Environmental assessment of erosion following prescribed burning in the Mount Lofty Ranges, Australia. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 23. 2014
  - Frogs during the flood: Differential behaviours of two amphibian species in a dryland floodplain wetland. Austral Ecology. 39. 2014
  - Impacts of frequent burning on live tree carbon biomass and demography in post-harvest regrowth forest. Forests. 5. 2014
  - Influence of Fuels, Weather and the Built Environment on the Exposure of Property to Wildfire. PLoS One. 9. 2014
  - Modelling surface fine fuel dynamics across climate gradients in eucalypt forests of south-eastern Australia. Ecography. 37. 2014
  - Reducing wildfire risk to urban developments: Simulation of cost-effective fuel treatment solutions in south eastern Australia. Environmental Modelling and Software. 52. 2014
- Major Reports and Working Papers
  - Fire Futures in Australia: Integrating trajectories of change in climate, ecosystems and fire regimes. 2014
2013
- Journal Articles Refereed
  - Amphibian Chytrid Prevalence in an Amphibian Community in Arid Australia. EcoHealth: conservation medicine: human health: ecosystem sustainability. 10. 2013
  - Balancing trade-offs between biodiversity and production in the re-design of rangeland landscapes. Rangeland Journal. 35. 2013
  - Brave new green world - the costs and benefits of a carbon economy for the conservation of Australian biodiversity 2013
  - Defining adequate means of residents to prepare property for protection from wildfire. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 6. 2013
  - Examining the relative effects of fire weather, suppression and fuel treatment on fire behaviour – A simulation study. Journal of Environmental Management. 131. 2013
  - Modelling the determinants of ignition in the Sydney Basin, Australia: implications for future management. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 22. 2013
  - Recording fox baiting effort across the landscape using geographic information systems: Facilitating more effective management. Ecological Management & Restoration. 14. 2013
  - Relationship of calling intensity to micrometeorology in pond breeding frogs from central eastern New South Wales 2013
2012
- Book Chapters
  - Climate Change and Australia's frogs: how much do we need to worry?. Wildlife & Climate Change: Towards robust conservation strategies for Australian fauna. 2012
- Journal Articles Refereed
  - Managing drought-induced mortality in Pinus radiata plantations under climate change conditions: A local approach using digital camera data. Forest Ecology and Management. 265. 2012
2011
- Journal Articles
  - Adaptive monitoring using the endangered northern corroboree frog (Pseudophryne pengilleyi) as a case study 2011
  - Are long-unburnt eucalypt forest patches important for the conservation of plant species diversity?. Applied Vegetation Science. 14. 2011
  - Bayes Nets as a method for analysing the influence of management actions in fire planning. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 20. 2011
  - Detecting pest and prey responses to fox control across the landscape using remote cameras. Wildlife Research. 38. 2011
  - Determining an optimal model for processing lidar data at the plot level: Results for a Pinus radiata plantation in New South Wales, Australia. New Zealand Journal of Forestry Science. 41. 2011
  - Do young eucalypt plantations benefit bats in an intensive agricultural landscape?. Wildlife Research. 38. 2011
  - Do young eucalypt plantations benefit bats in an intensive agricultural landscape? 2011
  - Hidden effects of forest management practices: responses of a soil stored seed bank to logging and repeated prescribed fire. Austral Ecology. 36. 2011
  - Prescribed burning: How can it work to conserve the things we value? 2011
  - TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE LAND MANAGEMENT IN THE DRYLANDS: SCIENTIFIC CONNECTIONS IN MONITORING AND ASSESSING DRYLAND DEGRADATION, CLIMATE CHANGE AND BIODIVERSITY. Land Degradation and Development. 22. 2011
- Journal Articles Refereed
  - Ecological processes in urban landscapes: mechanisms influencing the distribution and activity of insectivorous bats. Ecography. 34. 2011
  - Prescribed burning: how can it work to conserve the things we value?. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 20. 2011
- Conference Proceedings
  - Towards an operational lidar resource inventory process in Australian softwood plantations 2011
2010
- Journal Articles
  - A proposal for accounting for biodiversity in life cycle assessment. Biodiversity and Conservation. 19. 2010
  - Beetle assemblages captured using static panel traps within New South Wales pine plantations. Australian Journal of Entomology. 49. 2010
  - Influence of prescribed burning on fruit production in Proteaceae. Pacific Conservation Biology. 16. 2010
  - MANAGEMENT OF AMPHIBIAN POPULATIONS IN BOODEREE NATIONAL PARK, SOUTH-EASTERN AUSTRALIA. Herpetological Conservation and Biology. 5. 2010
  - Predicting the impact of climate change on Australia's most endangered snake, Hoplocephalus bungaroides. Diversity and Distributions. 16. 2010
  - Roadless Rules: The Struggle for the Last Wild Forests. Austral Ecology. 35. 2010
  - Waterlogging increases the infestation level of the pest psyllid Creiis lituratus on Eucalyptus dunnii. Australian Forestry. 73. 2010
- Journal Articles Refereed
  - Climate and recent fire history affect fuel loads in Eucalyptus forests: Implications for fire management in a changing climate. Forest Ecology and Management. 260. 2010
2009
- Journal Articles
  - Long-term changes in understorey vegetation in the absence of wildfire in south-east dry sclerophyll forests. Australian Journal of Botany. 57. 2009
  - Patch-Occupancy Modeling as a Method for Monitoring Changes in Forest Floristics: a Case Study in Southeastern Australia. Conservation Biology. 23. 2009
- Journal Articles Refereed
  - Ant community responses to experimental fire and logging in a eucalypt forest of south-eastern Australia. Forest Ecology and Management. 258. 2009
2008
- Journal Articles
  - Applied conservation management of a threatened forest dependent frog, Heleioporus australiacus. Endangered Species Research. 5. 2008
  - Changes in understorey plant species richness following logging and prescribed burning in shrubby dry sclerophyll forests of south-eastern Australia. Austral Ecology. 33. 2008
  - Germination responses of a dry sclerophyll forest soil stored seed bank to fire related cues 2008
  - Impact of a chytrid-related mortality event on a population of the Green and Golden Bell Frog Litoria aurea. Australian Zoologist. 34. 2008
  - Monitoring the Green and Golden Bell Frog: Current problems and an alternative approach. Australian Zoologist. 34. 2008
  - Quantifying successional changes in response to forest disturbances. Applied Vegetation Science. 11. 2008
  - Soil temperatures during autumn prescribed burning: implications for the germination of fire responsive species?. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 17. 2008
  - Spatial ecology of the giant burrowing frog (Heleioporus australiacus): implications for conservation prescriptions. Australian Journal of Zoology. 56. 2008
  - The potential for remote cameras to monitor visitation by birds and predators at Malleefowl mounds. Ecological Management & Restoration. 9. 2008
2007
- Journal Articles
  - Heleioporus australiacus predation 2007
  - Is there value in reviewing distributing models? A case study using critical weight range mammals in southeastern Australia. Pacific Conservation Biology. 13. 2007
  - Observations of responses to a prescribed burn in the frog Litoria verreauxii (Dumeril, 1853) 2007
  - Patchiness of prescribed burns in dry sclerophyll eucalypt forests in South-eastern Australia. Forest Ecology and Management. 252. 2007
  - Spatial models of giant burrowing frog distributions. Endangered Species Research. 3. 2007
- Conference Proceedings
  - Burning for biodiversity or burning the biodiversity 2007
  - Fire management in a heating world: Potential issues and actions for commercial forest areas 2007
2006
- Journal Articles
  - A note on the diet of the Striped Marsh Frog Limnodynastes peronii in the Sydney Basin Bioregion 2006
  - A preliminary investigation into the potential impacts of fire on a forest dependent burrowing frog species. Pacific Conservation Biology. 12. 2006
  - Description of breeding sites of the giant burrowing frog Heleioporus australiacus in south-eastern NSW 2006
  - Meteorological effects on the activity of the giant burrowing frog (Heleioporus australiacus) in south-eastern Australia. Wildlife Research. 33. 2006
2005
- Journal Articles
  - A cost-benefit analysis of automated call recorders. 2005
  - Bioclimatic analysis of disjunct populations of the giant burrowing frog, Heleioporus australiacus. Journal of Biogeography. 32. 2005
  - Non-breeding habitat requirements of the giant burrowing frog, Heleioporus australiacus (Anura: Myobatrachidae) in south-eastern Australia. Australian Zoologist. 33. 2005
  - Soil disturbance in integrated logging operations and the potential impact on a fossorial Australian frog 2005
2004
- Journal Articles
  - Two hundred and ten years looking for the giant burrowing frog. Australian Zoologist. 32. 2004

Research

Investigator on

Consultancy
- CONDUCTING MATHEMATICAL MODELLING TO OPTIMISE DERIVATION OF FINAL BIOIMPACT SCORES AND PREPARATION OF A REPORT awarded by UOM COMMERCIAL LTD
Contract
- Fire risk modelling methods for the NSW RFS awarded by NSW RURAL FIRE SERVICE 2019
- IFER Landscape Supp: Relationship between soil and fuel during - flammability switch in ash forests and damper foothill forests awarded by DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT LAND WATER & PLANNING 2018 - 2021
- IFER Landscape Supp_Evaluation of methods, data and models to quantify fuel accumulation and load awarded by DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT LAND WATER & PLANNING 2018 - 2019
- IFER Landscapes: Quantifying the risk reduction from roadside fire management strategies awarded by DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT LAND WATER & PLANNING 2018 - 2019
- Identifying planned burn windows awarded by BUSHFIRE & NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2018 - 2019
- Impact of catastrophic fires from powerlines awarded by BUSHFIRE & NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2018 - 2019
- Protecting significant trees awarded by PARKS VICTORIA 2018 -
- IFER HAZARDS CORE: IMPROVING THE REPRESENTATION OF BUSHFIRE RISK awarded by DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT LAND WATER & PLANNING 2017 - 2019
- IFER HAZARDS SUPP: IMPROVING FIREFIGHTER SAFETY WITH RADAR BASED WARNINGS awarded by DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT LAND WATER & PLANNING 2017 - 2019
- IFER Landscape Integration Core - The integrated landscape decision support system awarded by DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT LAND WATER & PLANNING 2017 - 2019
- LANDSCAPE FUEL MOISTURE FORECASTING FOR BUSHFIRE RISK ASSESSMENT awarded by BUSHFIRE & NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2017 - 2019
- Bush Fire Risk Interface Vulnerability Workshops awarded by NSW RURAL FIRE SERVICE 2017
- Fire risk modelling for koalas on the NSW Southern Tablelands awarded by OFFICE OF ENVIRONMENT AND HERITAGE (OEH) 2017
- GENERAL CONDITIONS FOR THE PROVISION OF GOODS - 2016-17 BUSHFIRE CONSEQUENCES MAPS TO INFORM ELECTRICITY DISTRIBUTION BUSINESSES' OPERATION OF AUTOMATIC RECLOSERS (ACRS) - LEX 28757 awarded by DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT LAND WATER & PLANNING 2017 - 2016
- Sustainable forest management in south-eastern NSW awarded by OFFICE OF ENVIRONMENT AND HERITAGE (OEH) 2016 - 2019
- COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS FOR FIRE MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES IN THE ACT. awarded by ACT PARKS & CONSERVATION SERVICE 2016 - 2018
- Determining threshold conditions for extreme fire behaviour awarded by BUSHFIRE & NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2015 - 2021
- From hectares to tailor-made solutions for risk mitigation: systems to deliver effective prescribed burning across Australian ecosystems awarded by UNIVERSITY OF WOLLONGONG 2015 - 2019
- Provision of data inputs for using in INFFEER in bushfire management decision making awarded by BUSHFIRE & NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2015 - 2018
- FIRE RISK MODELLING TO SUPPORT THE CONSERVATION OF KOALAS IN THE NSW FAR SOUTH COAST FORESTS awarded by DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET NSW OFFICE OF ENVIRONMENT & HERITAGE 2015 - 2016
- Fire danger rating project (National Emergency Management Projects) awarded by BUSHFIRE & NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2014 - 2016
Grant
- Using fire to manage biodiversity in fragmented landscapes (Linkage Projects) awarded by AUST RESEARCH COUNCIL 2016 - 2020
- A fire regime assessment of risk to assets (Early Career Researcher Grants Scheme) awarded by UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE 2015

Awards

Education and training

PhD, The University of Newcastle 2005
BSc(Hons), University of New South Wales 1998

Contact Details
- trent.penman@unimelb.edu.au
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