PROF Antony Blakely

PROF Antony Blakely


  • Epidemiology (Prevention, tobacco, diet, aging, cancer, cardiovascular, obesity)
  • Health economics (Prioritisation, equity, cost effectiveness)



  • Tony is an epidemiologist. His research covers a range of topic areas intersecting with methodological advancements.

    Since 2016 Tony holds a fractional appointment with the Centre for Health Policy, and is an honorary Professorial Fellow with the Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics at Melbourne University. He directs research programmes in epidemiology, simulation and cost effectiveness modelling at the University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.

    Tony has three research objectives at Melbourne University:
    1. Building up public health intervention and cost effectiveness modelling, intersecting with the NZHRC-funded Burden of Disease Epidemiology, Equity and Cost-Effectiveness Programme (BODE³). The initial focus is around cardiovascular disease modelling, then extending to wider public health interventions (e.g. the impact of interventions like sugary drink taxes, sodium reduction and tobacco control, on disease rates and QALYs) and issues such as morbidity and productivity cost impacts around the retirement age.
    2. Building collaborations with Melbourne University researchers using counterfactual and potential outcomes approaches, especially causal mediation methods.
    3. Facilitating access for Australian researchers to population-wide linked datasets in New Zealand, and research collaborations between Melbourne and Otago University researchers using this data.

    Tony teaches short-courses in advanced epidemiology and simulation modelling, in both Australia and New Zealand.

    Tony conducted his PhD in 1998 to 2001, pioneering the linkage of census and mortality data (the New Zealand Census-Mortality Study). Since then he has led research projects linking census and cancer data, a longitudinal study of 20,000 New Zealand adults, neighbourhoods and health projects, cancer control and health services projects, and dietary intervention studies. He has co-authored a book on the histo   


Member of

  • New Zealand College of Public Health Medicine. Public Health Medicine Specialist 1998 -


Selected publications


Investigator on


Education and training

  • PhD, University of Otago 2001
  • MPH, University of Otago 1996
  • MBChB, University of Otago 1991

Awards and honors

  • NHMRC Fellowship, 1998


Available for supervision

  • N

Supervision Statement

  • I teach and supervise students in the application of contemporary, sometimes advanced, epidemiological methods.
    I lead a programme of research simulating the impact of public health interventions n future health gain (QALYs gained, or DALYs averted) and costs (health system and productivity).
    I have a wide range of content area interests, including tobacco to health eating, health services, and prevention.