Mark Burgman

A method for assessing the impacts of an international agreement on regional progress towards Sustainable Development Goals

Y Huan, Y Yu, T Liang, M Burgman

Journal article  |  2021  |  Science of the Total Environment

In 2015, 193 countries committed to 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDG/SDGs). Assessing the impacts of policies or actions on S..

Eliciting Model Structures for Multivariate Probabilistic Risk Analysis

M Burgman, H Layman, S French

Journal article  |  2021  |  Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics

Notionally objective probabilistic risk models, built around ideas of cause and effect, are used to predict impacts and evaluate t..

Increasing transparency through open science badges.

Frith Jarrad, Ellen Main, Mark Burgman

Journal article  |  2021  |  Conserv Biol

Risk assessment for invasive species

JD Mumford, MA Burgman

Book Chapter  |  2021

Biodiversity conservation as a promising frontier for behavioural science.

Kristian Steensen Nielsen, Theresa M Marteau, Jan M Bauer, Richard B Bradbury, Steven Broad, Gayle Burgess, Mark Burgman, Hilary Byerly, Susan Clayton, Dulce Espelosin, Paul J Ferraro, Brendan Fisher, Emma E Garnett, Julia PG Jones, Mark Otieno, Stephen Polasky, Taylor H Ricketts, Rosie Trevelyan, Sander van der Linden, Diogo Veríssimo, et al.

Journal article  |  2021  |  Nat Hum Behav

Human activities are degrading ecosystems worldwide, posing existential threats for biodiversity and humankind. Slowing and revers..

What is a Good Calibration Question?

Victoria Hemming, Anca M Hanea, Mark A Burgman

Journal article  |  2021  |  RISK ANALYSIS

Weighted aggregation of expert judgments based on their performance on calibration questions may improve mathematically aggregated..

Traits explain invasion of alien plants into tropical rainforests

Decky I Junaedi, Gurutzeta Guillera-Arroita, Peter A Vesk, Michael A McCarthy, Mark A Burgman, Jane A Catford

Journal article  |  2021  |  ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION

1. The establishment of new botanic gardens in tropical regions highlights a need for weed risk assessment tools suitable for trop..

Pre-screening workers to overcome bias amplification in online labour markets.

Ans Vercammen, Alexandru Marcoci, Mark Burgman

Journal article  |  2021  |  PLoS One

Groups have access to more diverse information and typically outperform individuals on problem solving tasks. Crowdsolving utilise..

Eliciting group judgements about replicability: A technical implementation of the IDEA Protocol

ER Pearson, H Fraser, M Bush, F Mody, I Widjaja, A Head, DP Wilkinson, B Wintle, R Sinnott, P Vesk, M Burgman, F Fidler

Conference Proceedings  |  2021  |  Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences

In recent years there has been increased interest in replicating prior research. One of the biggest challenges to assessing replic..

Alternative futures for global biological invasions

N Roura-Pascual, B Leung, W Rabitsch, L Rutting, J Vervoort, S Bacher, S Dullinger, KH Erb, JM Jeschke, S Katsanevakis, I Kühn, B Lenzner, AM Liebhold, M Obersteiner, A Pauchard, GD Peterson, HE Roy, H Seebens, M Winter, MA Burgman, et al.

Journal article  |  2021  |  Sustainability Science

Scenario analysis has emerged as a key tool to analyze complex and uncertain future socio-ecological developments. However, curren..