Natalie Briscoe

Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: The promise of biophysical ecology

Natalie J Briscoe, Shane D Morris, Paul D Mathewson, Lauren B Buckley, Marko Jusup, Ofir Levy, Ilya MD Maclean, Sylvain Pincebourde, Eric A Riddell, Jessica A Roberts, Rafael Schouten, Michael W Sears, Michael Ray Kearney

Journal article  |  2022  |  GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future environmental change and to manage thes..

Too hot to hunt: Mechanistic predictions of thermal refuge from cat predation risk

Natalie J Briscoe, Hugh McGregor, David Roshier, Andrew Carter, Brendan A Wintle, Michael R Kearney

Journal article  |  2022  |  CONSERVATION LETTERS

Many threatened species depend on climatic microrefugia, but places with harsh climates for predators may also play a refugial rol..

Using species distribution models and decision tools to direct surveys and identify potential translocation sites for a critically endangered species

Arabella C Eyre, Natalie J Briscoe, Dan KP Harley, Lindy F Lumsden, Leo B McComb, Pia E Lentini

Journal article  |  2022  |  DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Aim: Occurrence records for cryptic species are typically limited or highly uncertain, leaving their distributions poorly resolved..

Climate and behaviour influence thermal suitability of artificial hollows for a critically endangered mammal

LB McComb, PE Lentini, DKP Harley, LF Lumsden, AC Eyre, NJ Briscoe

Journal article  |  2021  |  ANIMAL CONSERVATION

Artificial hollows are commonly used to mitigate the scarcity of den and nest sites that threatens fauna species globally, but the..

NicheMapR - an R package for biophysical modelling: the endotherm model

Michael R Kearney, Natalie J Briscoe, Paul D Mathewson, Warren P Porter

Journal article  |  2021  |  ECOGRAPHY

Endothermic organisms typically maintain high and relatively constant body temperatures in the face of environmental variation by ..

Can dynamic occupancy models improve predictions of species' range dynamics? A test using Swiss birds

Natalie J Briscoe, Damaris Zurell, Jane Elith, Christian Koenig, Guillermo Fandos, Anne-Kathleen Malchow, Marc Kery, Hans Schmid, Gurutzeta Guillera-Arroita

Journal article  |  2021  |  GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Predictions of species' current and future ranges are needed to effectively manage species under environmental change. Species ran..

Assessing the accuracy of density-independent demographic models for predicting species ranges

Matthew H Holden, Jian DL Yen, Natalie J Briscoe, Jose J Lahoz-Monfort, Roberto Salguero-Gomez, Peter A Vesk, Gurutzeta Guillera-Arroita

Journal article  |  2021  |  ECOGRAPHY

Accurately predicting species ranges is a primary goal of ecology. Demographic distribution models (DDMs), which correlate underly..

steps: Software for spatially and temporally explicit population simulations

Casey Visintin, Natalie J Briscoe, Skipton NC Woolley, Pia E Lentini, Reid Tingley, Brendan A Wintle, Nick Golding

Journal article  |  2020  |  METHODS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION

Species population dynamics are driven by spatial and temporal changes in the environment, anthropogenic activities and conservati..

Forecasting species range dynamics with process-explicit models: matching methods to applications

Natalie J Briscoe, Jane Elith, Roberto Salguero-Gomez, Jose J Lahoz-Monfort, James S Camac, Katherine M Giljohann, Matthew H Holden, Bronwyn A Hradsky, Michael R Kearney, Sean M McMahon, Ben L Phillips, Tracey J Regan, Jonathan R Rhodes, Peter A Vesk, Brendan A Wintle, Jian DL Yen, Gurutzeta Guillera-Arroita

Journal article  |  2019  |  ECOLOGY LETTERS

Knowing where species occur is fundamental to many ecological and environmental applications. Species distribution models (SDMs) a..

Persistence through tough times: fixed and shifting refuges in threatened species conservation

April E Reside, Natalie J Briscoe, Chris R Dickman, Aaron C Greenville, Bronwyn A Hradsky, Salit Kark, Michael R Kearney, Alex S Kutt, Dale G Nimmo, Chris R Pavey, John L Read, Euan G Ritchie, David Roshier, Anja Skroblin, Zoe Stone, Matt West, Diana O Fisher

Journal article  |  2019  |  BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

It may be possible to avert threatened species declines by protecting refuges that promote species persistence during times of str..