Tim Robinson

Does location help explain why some people are vulnerable to financial stress?

Guay Lim, Viet Nguyen, Timothy Robinson, Sam Tsiaplias

Report  |  2020

The Australian labour market has been severely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, with many workers experiencing loss of employmen..

Too Many Shocks Spoil the Interpretation

Timothy Robinson, Adrian PAGAN

Report  |  2020

We show that when a model has more shocks than observed variables the estimated filtered and smoothed shocks will be correlated. T..

Implications of Partial Information for Applied Macroeconomic Modelling

Tim Robinson, Adrian PAGAN

Report  |  2019

Implications of partial information for applied macroeconomic modelling along four dimensions are shown, and analysis provided on ..

Expect weak economic growth for quite some time. What Wednesday’s national accounts tell us

Tim Robinson

Scholarly Contribution to Database/Website  |  2019

The Australian economy grew by just 0.4% in the March quarter. It was a pick up from 0.2% in the December quarter, but over the ye..

Implications of partial information for econometric modeling of macroeconomic systems

Tim Robinson, A PAGAN

Report  |  2019

Representative models of the macroeconomy (RMs), such as DSGE models, frequently contain unobserved variables. A finite-order VAR ..

The Consequences of Extending Equitable Property Division Laws to Cohabitants

A Chigavazira, H Fisher, Tim Robinson, A Zhu

Report  |  2019

Since the 1970s, marriage rates have declined throughout the developed world and unmarried cohabitation has become increasingly im..

Political Attitudes and Inflation Expectations: Evidence and Implications

Tim Robinson, N Prasad, C Gillitzer

Journal article  |  2019  |  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking

Critically Assessing Estimated DSGE Models: A Case Study of a Multi-sector Model

X Liu, AR Pagan, T Robinson

Journal article  |  2018  |  Economic Record

Why Has Australian Wages Growth Been So Low? A Phillips Curve Perspective

Chew Lian Chua, Tim Robinson

Journal article  |  2018  |  Economic Record

The Australian Economy in 2017-2018: The Importance of Stronger Non-Mining Business Investment Growth

Tim Robinson, Jiao Wang

Journal article  |  2018  |  Australian Economic Review

Forecasting the Australian economy with DSGE and BVAR models

S Langcake, T Robinson

Journal article  |  2018  |  Applied Economics

Reflecting the importance of commodities for the Australian economy, we construct a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) ..

Critically Assessing Estimated DSGE Models: A Case Study of a Multi-Sector Model

T Robinson, X Liu, AR Pagan

Report  |  2018

We describe methods for assessing estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models. One involves the computation of ..

Macroeconomic Consequences of Terms of Trade Episodes, Past and Present

T Robinson, T Atkin, M Caputo, H Wang

Journal article  |  2017  |  Australian Economic History Review: an Asia-Pacific journal of economic, business and social history

The early-twenty first century saw Australia experience its largest and longest terms of trade boom. This paper places the most re..

Estimating DSGE models with zero interest rate policy

M Kulish, J Morley, T Robinson

Journal article  |  2017  |  Journal of Monetary Economics

We propose estimating DSGE models in which the central bank fixes the policy rate for an extended period of time and apply our app..

The Australian Economy in 2016-17: Looking Beyond the Apartment Construction Boom

T Robinson, VH Nguyen, J Wang

Journal article  |  2017  |  The Australian Economic Review

The transition in the sources of growth away from the mining sector continued in 2015–2016. However, this transition was narrowly ..

Investigating the Relationship Between DSGE and SVAR Models

T Robinson, A Pagan

Report  |  2016

DSGE models often contain variables for which data is not observed when estimating. Although DSGE models generally imply that ther..

Introduction to the Policy Forum: Macroeconomic Consequences of Macroprudential Policies

E Castelnuovo, G Lim, T ROBINSON

Journal article  |  2016  |  The Australian Economic Review

This policy forum summarises the proceedings of the 2015 Melbourne Institute Macroeconomic Policy Meeting, which took place at the..

FactCheck: is job growth in Australia the greatest it’s been since 2006?

Timothy Robinson, Phil Lewis

Scholarly Contribution to Database/Website  |  2016

With shakes in the global stock market and uncertainty abroad, politicians are understandably keen to reassure voters that Austral..

Managing the budget deficit

Timothy Robinson

Scholarly Contribution to Database/Website  |  2016

With the federal budget released, discussions about the size of the deficit have once again come to the fore. It can, however, be ..

The Australian Economy in 2015-16: Uncertainties and Challenges

T Robinson, S Tsiaplias, VH Nguyen

Journal article  |  2016  |  The Australian Economic Review

The article discusses the uncertainties and challenges of the economic condition of Australia in 2015-2016. It outlines the import..

What the latest capital expenditure figures tell us about the economy

Timothy Robinson

Scholarly Contribution to Database/Website  |  2015

The latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Capital Expenditure Survey revealed that business investment is likely to have fa..

Budget explainer: the forces influencing Australia’s economy

Timothy Robinson

Scholarly Contribution to Database/Website  |  2015

Was Hockey right to be so confident? As we head into the federal budget tonight, all eyes will be on how the Coalition government ..

The Australian Economy in 2014-15: An Economy in Transition

Tim Robinson, Sarantis Tsiaplias, Viet H Nguyen

Journal article  |  2015  |  Australian Economic Review

Methods for assessing the impact of financial effects on business cycles in macroeconometric models

Adrian Pagan, Tim Robinson

Journal article  |  2014  |  Journal of Macroeconomics

Australia after the Terms of Trade Boom

T Atkin, M Caputo, T ROBINSON, H Wang

Journal article  |  2014

Estimating the expected duration of the zero lower bound in DSGE models with forward guidance

undefined Kulish, undefined Morley, T Robinson

Report  |  2014

Pathways to growth: the reform imperative

D Cobb-Clark, B Broadway, M Bubonya, H Buddelmeyer, A Chigavazira, M Hahn, N HERAULT, P Jensen, J Li, G Marks, K Peyton, T Robinson, C Ryan, S Tsiaplias

Journal article  |  2014  |  Insights

Macroeconomic Consequences of Terms of Trade Episodes, Past and Present

T Atkin, M Caputo, T ROBINSON, H Wang

Report  |  2014

The Relationship between Bulk Commodity and Chinese Steel Prices

T ROBINSON, M Caputo, H Wang

Journal article  |  2013  |  Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin

An Empirical BVAR-DGSE Models for Small-Open Economies

T ROBINSON

Report  |  2013

Changes to the RBA Index of Commodity Prices: 2013

T ROBINSON, H Wang

Journal article  |  2013  |  Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin

Estimating and Identifying Empirical BVAR-DSGE Models for Small Open Economies

T ROBINSON

Report  |  2013

Reconciling microeconomic and macroeconomic estimates of price stickiness

Adam Cagliarini, Tim Robinson, Allen Tran

Journal article  |  2011  |  Journal of Macroeconomics

Understanding the flattening Phillips curve

Ken Kuttner, Tim Robinson

Journal article  |  2010  |  North American Journal of Economics and Finance

A Small BVAR-DSGE Model for Forecasting the Australian Economy

T ROBINSON, A Hodge, R Stuart

Report  |  2008

Global Imbalances and the Global Saving Glut – A Panel Data Assessment

T ROBINSON, A Legg, N Prasad

Report  |  2007

Monetary Policy, Asset-price Bubbles and the Zero Lower Bound

undefined ROBINSON, A Stone

Conference Proceedings  |  2006  |  Monetary Policy with Very Low Inflation in the Pacific Rim

Output gaps in real time: How reliable are they?

D Gruen, T Robinson, A Stone

Journal article  |  2005  |  The Economic Record

The Real-time Forecasting Performance of Phillips Curves

T ROBINSON, A Stone, M van Zyl

Report  |  2003

A Cost Benefit Analysis of Travel Blending

T ROBINSON, P Tisato

Conference Proceedings  |  1999