David Karoly

A regionalisation approach for rainfall based on extremal dependence

KR Saunders, AG Stephenson, DJ Karoly

Journal article  |  2020  |  EXTREMES

To mitigate the risk posed by extreme rainfall events, we require statistical models that reliably capture extremes in continuous ..

Warming Patterns Affect El Nino Diversity in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models

Mandy B Freund, Josephine R Brown, Benjamin J Henley, David J Karoly, Jaclyn N Brown

Journal article  |  2020  |  Journal of Climate

Given the consequences and global significance of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events it is essential to understand the rep..

Political leadership on climate change: the role of health in Obama-era US climate policies

Annabelle Workman, Grant Blashki, Kathryn J Bowen, David J Karoly, John Wiseman

Journal article  |  2020  |  Environmental Research Letters

Urgent and ambitious climate action is required to avoid catastrophic climate change and consequent health impacts. Political will..

Evaluation of CMIP6 AMIP climate simulations with the ACCESS-AM2 model

RW Bodman, DJ Karoly, MR Dix, IN Harman, J Srbinovsky, PB Dobrohotoff, C Mackallah

Journal article  |  2020  |  JOURNAL OF SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE EARTH SYSTEMS SCIENCE

The most recent version of the ACCESS-AM2 atmosphere-only climate model is introduced with results from the CMIP6 Atmospheric Mode..

Historical extreme rainfall events in southeastern Australia

Linden Ashcroft, David J Karoly, Andrew J Dowdy

Journal article  |  2019  |  WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES

The cities of Melbourne, Sydney and Adelaide are home to almost half of the Australian population, and are often exposed to extrem..

Amplification of risks to water supply at 1.5°C and 2°C in drying climates: a case study for Melbourne, Australia

Benjamin J Henley, Murray C Peel, Rory Nathan, Andrew David King, Anna M Ukkola, David J Karoly, Kim S Tan

Journal article  |  2019  |  Environmental Research Letters

Human-induced climate change poses a major threat to the reliable water supply in many highly populated regions. Here we combine ..

Forecasting wildlife die-offs from extreme heat events

HU Ratnayake, MR Kearney, P Govekar, D Karoly, JA Welbergen

Journal article  |  2019  |  ANIMAL CONSERVATION

Extreme heat events pose increasing challenges to biodiversity conservation worldwide, yet our ability to predict the time, place ..

Higher frequency of Central Pacific El Nino events in recent decades relative to past centuries

Mandy B Freund, Benjamin J Henley, David J Karoly, Helen V McGregor, Nerilie J Abram, Dietmar Dommenget

Journal article  |  2019  |  NATURE GEOSCIENCE

El Niño events differ substantially in their spatial pattern and intensity. Canonical Eastern Pacific El Niño events have sea surf..

Health co-benefits and the development of climate change mitigation policies in the European Union

Annabelle Workman, Grant Blashki, Kathryn J Bowen, David J Karoly, John Wiseman

Journal article  |  2019  |  CLIMATE POLICY

The 2015 Paris Agreement requires increasingly ambitious emissions reduction efforts from its member countries. Accounting for anc..

What does the Paris agreement mean for Australia's ecosystems?

Andrew King, Benjamin J Henley, David J Karoly, Jatin Kala

Journal article  |  2019  |  AUSTRAL ECOLOGY