Andrew King

Sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction of rainfall extremes in Australia

Andrew D King, Debra Hudson, Eun-Pa Lim, Andrew G Marshall, Harry H Hendon, Todd P Lane, Oscar Alves

Journal article  |  2020  |  Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Observed Emergence of the Climate Change Signal: From the Familiar to the Unknown

E Hawkins, D Frame, L Harrington, M Joshi, A King, M Rojas, R Sutton

Journal article  |  2020  |  Geophysical Research Letters

The role of climate variability in Australian drought

Andrew D King, Andy J Pitman, Benjamin J Henley, Anna M Ukkola, Josephine R Brown

Journal article  |  2020  |  Nature Climate Change

Global and regional impacts differ between transient and equilibrium warmer worlds

Andrew D King, Todd P Lane, Benjamin J Henley, Josephine R Brown

Journal article  |  2020  |  Nature Climate Change

Deconstructing factors contributing to the 2018 fire weather in Queensland, Australia

SC Lewis, SAP Blake, B Trewin, MT Black, AJ Dowdy, SE Perkins-Kirkpatrick, AD King, JJ Sharples

Journal article  |  2020  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Observed Relationships Between Sudden Stratospheric Warmings and European Climate Extremes

AD King, AH Butler, M Jucker, NO Earl, I Rudeva

Journal article  |  2019  |  Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

Regional hotspots of temperature extremes under 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C of global mean warming

Sophie C Lewis, Andrew D King, Sarah E Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Daniel M Mitchell

Journal article  |  2019  |  Weather and Climate Extremes

The Australian Northwest Cloudband: Climatology, Mechanisms, and Association with Precipitation

Kimberley J Reid, Ian Simmonds, Claire L Vincent, Andrew D King

Journal article  |  2019  |  Journal of Climate

Australian northwest cloudbands (NWCBs) are continental-scale bands of continuous cloud that stretch from northwest to southeast A..

Toward Calibrated Language for Effectively Communicating the Results of Extreme Event Attribution Studies

Sophie C Lewis, Andrew D King, Sarah E Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Michael F Wehner

Journal article  |  2019  |  Earth's Future

Amplification of risks to water supply at 1.5°C and 2°C in drying climates: a case study for Melbourne, Australia

Benjamin J Henley, Murray C Peel, Rory Nathan, Andrew David King, Anna M Ukkola, David J Karoly, Kim S Tan

Journal article  |  2019  |  Environmental Research Letters

Human-induced climate change poses a major threat to the reliable water supply in many highly populated regions. Here we combine ..

Southern Hemisphere subtropical drying as a transient response to warming (vol 9, pg 232, 2019)

JM Kale Sniderman, Josephine R Brown, Jon D Woodhead, Andrew D King, Nathan P Gillett, Katarzyna B Tokarska, Katja Lorbacher, John Hellstrom, Russell N Drysdale, Malte Meinshausen

Journal article  |  2019  |  Nature Climate Change

The drivers of nonlinear local temperature change under global warming

Andrew D King

Journal article  |  2019  |  Environmental Research Letters

How the pattern of the Earth’s surface warming will change under global warming represents a fundamental question for our understa..

What does the Paris agreement mean for Australia's ecosystems?

Andrew King, Benjamin J Henley, David J Karoly, Jatin Kala

Journal article  |  2019  |  Austral Ecology

Assessing Contributions of Major Emitters' Paris-Era Decisions to Future Temperature Extremes

Sophie C Lewis, Sarah E Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Glenn Althor, Andrew D King, Luke Kemp

Journal article  |  2019  |  Geophysical Research Letters

Southern Hemisphere subtropical drying as a transient response to warming

JM Kale Sniderman, Josephine R Brown, Jon D Woodhead, Andrew D King, Nathan P Gillett, Katarzyna B Tokarska, Katja Lorbacher, John Hellstrom, Russell N Drysdale, Malte Meinshausen

Journal article  |  2019  |  Nature Climate Change

Seasonal dependence of rainfall extremes in and around Jakarta, Indonesia

Sopia Lestari, Andrew King, Claire Vincent, David Karoly, Alain Protat

Journal article  |  2019  |  Weather and Climate Extremes

This study investigates the interannual, seasonal, and intraseasonal variation in rainfall extremes (REs) in Jakarta and surroundi..

THE ROLE OF NATURAL VARIABILITY AND ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2017/18 TASMAN SEA MARINE HEATWAVE

SE Perkins-Kirkpatrick, AD King, EA Cougnon, MR Grose, ECJ Oliver, NJ Holbrook, SC Lewis, F Pourasghar

Journal article  |  2019  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Embracing the complexity of extreme weather events when quantifying their likelihood of recurrence in a warming world

Luke J Harrington, Sophie Lewis, Sarah E Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Andrew D King, Friederike EL Otto

Journal article  |  2019  |  Environmental Research Letters

Global-average temperatures are a powerful metric for both long-term climate change policy, and also to measure the aggregate fluc..

State of the climate in 2018

M Ades, R Adler, LS Aldeco, G Alejandra, EJ Alfaro, V Aliaga-Nestares, RP Allan, R Allan, LM Alves, JA Amador, JK Andersen, J Anderson, DS Arndt, C Arosio, K Arrigo, C Azorin-Molina, MY Bardin, J Barichivich, S Barreira, S Baxter, et al.

Journal article  |  2019  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

On the Linearity of Local and Regional Temperature Changes from 1.5 degrees C to 2 degrees C of Global Warming

Andrew D King, Reto Knutti, Peter Uhe, Daniel M Mitchell, Sophie C Lewis, Julie M Arblaster, Nicolas Freychet

Journal article  |  2018  |  Journal of Climate

Given the Paris Agreement it is imperative there is greater understanding of the consequences of limiting global warming to the ta..

Biased Estimates of Changes in Climate Extremes From Prescribed SST Simulations

EM Fischer, U Beyerle, CF Schleussner, AD King, R Knutti

Journal article  |  2018  |  Geophysical Research Letters

Large climate model ensembles are widely used to quantify changes in climate extremes. Here we demonstrate that model‐based estima..

Attributing high-impact extreme events across timescales-a case study of four different types of events

Friederike EL Otto, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Sihan Li, Andrew King, Heidi Cullen

Journal article  |  2018  |  Climatic Change

Increasing likelihoods of extreme weather events is the most noticeable and damaging manifestation of anthropogenic climate change..

How Uneven Are Changes to Impact-Relevant Climate Hazards in a 1.5 °C World and Beyond?

LJ Harrington, D Frame, AD King, FEL Otto

Journal article  |  2018  |  Geophysical Research Letters

In the last decade, climate mitigation policy has galvanized around staying below specified thresholds of global mean temperature,..

Reduced heat exposure by limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees C

Andrew D King, Markus G Donat, Sophie C Lewis, Benjamin J Henley, Daniel M Mitchell, Peter A Stott, Erich M Fischer, David J Karoly

Journal article  |  2018  |  Nature Climate Change

The benefits of limiting global warming to the lower Paris Agreement target of 1.5 °C are substantial with respect to population e..

The Inequality of Climate Change From 1.5 to 2°C of Global Warming

AD King, LJ Harrington

Journal article  |  2018  |  Geophysical Research Letters

The Paris Agreement aims to keep global warming well below 2°C above preindustrial levels with a preferred ambitious 1.5°C target...

Attribution Analysis of the Ethiopian Drought of 2015

Sjoukje Philip, Sarah F Kew, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike Otto, Sarah O'Keefe, Karsten Haustein, Andrew King, Abiy Zegeye, Zewdu Eshetu, Kinfe Hailemariam, Roop Singh, Eddie Jjemba, Chris Funk, Heidi Cullen

Journal article  |  2018  |  Journal of Climate

In northern and central Ethiopia, 2015 was a very dry year. Rainfall was only from one-half to three-quarters of the usual amount,..

NATURAL VARIABILITY NOT CLIMATE CHANGE DROVE THE RECORD WET WINTER IN SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA

Andrew D King

Journal article  |  2018  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Projections and Hazards of Future Extreme Heat

Andrew King, Colin Raymond, Dim Coumou, Tim Foreman, Kai Kornhuber, Corey Lesk, Camilo Mora, Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Simone Russo, Sem Vijverberg

Book Chapter  |  2018

This handbook is currently in development, with individual articles publishing online in advance of print publication.

A multimethod attribution analysis of the prolonged northeast Brazil hydrometeorological drought (2012–16)

ESPR Martins, CAS Coelho, R Haarsma, FEL Otto, AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Kew, S Philip, FC Vasconcelos Júnior, H Cullen

Journal article  |  2018  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Using Global and Regional Model Simulations to Understand Maritime Continent Wet-Season Rainfall Variability

Andrew D King, Claire L Vincent

Journal article  |  2018  |  Geophysical Research Letters

The Maritime Continent is a densely populated area of complex topography located between the Pacific and Indian Oceans. It is an a..

Climate extremes in Europe at 1.5 and 2 degrees of global warming

Andrew D King, David J Karoly

Journal article  |  2017  |  Environmental Research Letters

Australia's Unprecedented Future Temperature Extremes Under Paris Limits to Warming

Sophie C Lewis, Andrew D King, Daniel M Mitchell

Journal article  |  2017  |  Geophysical Research Letters

Evaluation of the regional climate response in Australia to large-scale climate modes in the historical NARCliM simulations

L Fita, JP Evans, D Argueso, A King, Y Liu

Journal article  |  2017  |  CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Australian climate extremes at 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C of global warming

Andrew D King, David J Karoly, Benjamin J Henley

Journal article  |  2017  |  Nature Climate Change

DEFINING A NEW NORMAL FOR EXTREMES IN A WARMING WORLD

Sophie C Lewis, Andrew D King, Sarah E Perkins-Kirkpkpatrick

Journal article  |  2017  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Trajectories toward the 1.5 degrees C Paris target: Modulation by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

Benjamin J Henley, Andrew D King

Journal article  |  2017  |  Geophysical Research Letters

Spatial and temporal agreement in climate model simulations of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

Benjamin J Henley, Gerald Meehl, Scott B Power, Chris K Folland, Andrew D King, Jaclyn N Brown, David J Karoly, Francois Delage, Ailie JE Gallant, Mandy Freund, Raphael Neukom

Journal article  |  2017  |  Environmental Research Letters

Evolution of mean, variance and extremes in 21st century temperatures

Sophie C Lewis, Andrew D King

Journal article  |  2017  |  Weather and Climate Extremes

Attributing Changing Rates of Temperature Record Breaking to Anthropogenic Influences

Andrew D King

Journal article  |  2017  |  Earth's Future

Record-breaking temperatures attract attention from the media, so understanding how and why the rate of record breaking is changin..

CLIMATE CHANGE AND EL NINO INCREASE LIKELIHOOD OF INDONESIAN HEAT AND DROUGHT

Andrew D King, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, David Karoly

Journal article  |  2016  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

THE ROLES OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND EL NINO IN THE RECORD LOW RAINFALL IN OCTOBER 2015 IN TASMANIA, AUSTRALIA

David J Karoly, Mitchell T Black, Michael R Grose, Andrew D King

Journal article  |  2016  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

The weather@home regional climate modelling project for Australia and New Zealand

Mitchell T Black, David J Karoly, Suzanne M Rosier, Sam M Dean, Andrew D King, Neil R Massey, Sarah N Sparrow, Andy Bowery, David Wallom, Richard G Jones, Friederike EL Otto, Myles R Allen

Journal article  |  2016  |  Geoscientific Model Development

Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences

P Uhe, FEL Otto, K Haustein, GJ van Oldenborgh, AD King, DCH Wallom, MR Allen, H Cullen

Journal article  |  2016  |  Geophysical Research Letters

Emergence of heat extremes attributable to anthropogenic influences

Andrew D King, Mitchell T Black, Seung-Ki Min, Erich M Fischer, Daniel M Mitchell, Luke J Harrington, Sarah E Perkins-Kirkpatrick

Journal article  |  2016  |  Geophysical Research Letters

Extraordinary heat during the 1930s US Dust Bowl and associated large-scale conditions

Markus G Donat, Andrew D King, Jonathan T Overpeck, Lisa V Alexander, Imke Durre, David J Karoly

Journal article  |  2016  |  Climate Dynamics

FACTORS OTHER THAN CLIMATE CHANGE, MAIN DRIVERS OF 2014/15 WATER SHORTAGE IN SOUTHEAST BRAZIL

Friederike EL Otto, Caio AS Coelho, Andrew King, Erin Coughlan De Perez, Yoshihide Wada, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Rein Haarsma, Karsten Haustein, Peter Uhe, Maarten van Aalst, Jose Antonio Aravequia, Waldenio Almeida, Heidi Cullen

Journal article  |  2015  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

THE CONTRIBUTION OF ANTHROPOGENIC FORCING TO THE ADELAIDE AND MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA, HEAT WAVES OF JANUARY 2014

Mitchell T Black, David J Karoly, Andrew D King

Journal article  |  2015  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

INCREASED LIKELIHOOD OF BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA, G20 HEAT EVENT DUE TO ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE

Andrew D King, Mitchell T Black, David J Karoly, Markus G Donat

Journal article  |  2015  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Dramatically increased rate of observed hot record breaking in recent Australian temperatures

Sophie C Lewis, Andrew D King

Journal article  |  2015  |  Geophysical Research Letters

The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes

Andrew D King, Markus G Donat, Erich M Fischer, Ed Hawkins, Lisa V Alexander, David J Karoly, Andrea J Dittus, Sophie C Lewis, Sarah E Perkins

Journal article  |  2015  |  Environmental Research Letters

The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5

Andrew D King, Markus G Donat, Lisa V Alexander, David J Karoly

Journal article  |  2015  |  Climate Dynamics

Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences

Andrew D King, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, David J Karoly, Sophie C Lewis, Heidi Cullen

Journal article  |  2015  |  Environmental Research Letters

CLIMATE CHANGE TURNS AUSTRALIA'S 2013 BIG DRY INTO A YEAR OF RECORD-BREAKING HEAT

Andrew D King, David J Karoly, Markus G Donat, Lisa V Alexander

Journal article  |  2014  |  BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Extreme Rainfall Variability in Australia: Patterns, Drivers, and Predictability

Andrew D King, Nicholas P Klingaman, Lisa V Alexander, Markus G Donat, Nicolas C Jourdain, Penelope Maher

Journal article  |  2014  |  Journal of Climate

Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Arab region: long-term trends and variability related to ENSO and NAO

MG Donat, TC Peterson, M Brunet, AD King, M Almazroui, RK Kolli, Djamel Boucherf, Anwar Yousuf Al-Mulla, Abdourahman Youssouf Nour, Ahmed Attia Aly, Tamer Ali Ali Nada, Muhammad M Semawi, Hasan Abdullah Al Dashti, Tarek G Salhab, Khalid I El Fadli, Mohamed K Muftah, Sidaty Dah Eida, Wafae Badi, Fatima Driouech, Khalid El Rhaz, et al.

Journal article  |  2014  |  International Journal of Climatology

An assessment of reservoir filling policies for the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

A King, P Block

Journal article  |  2014  |  Journal of Water and Climate Change

Africa's largest hydropower facility is currently under construction on the main stem of the Blue Nile River in Ethiopia. The Gran..

EXPLAINING EXTREME EVENTS OF 2012 FROM A CLIMATE PERSPECTIVE

Thomas C Peterson, Lisa V Alexander, Myles R Allen, Juan A Anel, David Barriopedro, Mitchell T Black, Trevor Carey-Smith, Rodrigo Castillo, Julien Cattiaux, Xiaolong Chen, Xianyan Chen, Matthieu Chevallier, Nikolaos Christidis, Andrew Ciavarella, Hylke de Vries, Sam M Dean, Kirsten Deans, Noah S Diffenbaugh, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Markus G Donat, et al.

Journal article  |  2013  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

The efficacy of using gridded data to examine extreme rainfall characteristics: a case study for Australia

Andrew D King, Lisa V Alexander, Markus G Donat

Journal article  |  2013  |  International Journal of Climatology

Asymmetry in the response of eastern Australia extreme rainfall to low-frequency Pacific variability

Andrew D King, Lisa V Alexander, Markus G Donat

Journal article  |  2013  |  Geophysical Research Letters

Limited evidence of anthropogenic influence on the 2011-12 Extreme Rainfall over Southeast Australia

AD King, SC Lewis, SE Perkins, LV Alexander, MG Donat, DJ Karoly, MT Black

Journal article  |  2013  |  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Approaches to attribution of extreme temperature and precipitation events using multi-model and single-member ensembles of general circulation models

Sophie C Lewis, Sarah E Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Andrew D King

Journal article  |  Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography

Abstract. Extreme temperature and precipitation events occurring in Australia in recent decades have caused significant socio-econ..