Anca Hanea

Predicting reliability through structured expert elicitation with the repliCATS (Collaborative Assessments for Trustworthy Science) process.

Hannah Fraser, Martin Bush, Bonnie C Wintle, Fallon Mody, Eden T Smith, Anca M Hanea, Elliot Gould, Victoria Hemming, Daniel G Hamilton, Libby Rumpff, David P Wilkinson, Ross Pearson, Felix Singleton Thorn, Raquel Ashton, Aaron Willcox, Charles T Gray, Andrew Head, Melissa Ross, Rebecca Groenewegen, Alexandru Marcoci, et al.

Journal article  |  2023  |  PLoS One

As replications of individual studies are resource intensive, techniques for predicting the replicability are required. We introdu..

AI-powered narrative building for facilitating public participation and engagement

Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos, Thomas Workman, Clint Walker, Don Lenihan, Sarah Moulds, Juan C Correa, Anca M Hanea, Belona Sonna

Journal article  |  2022  |  Discover Artificial Intelligence

AbstractAlgorithms, data, and AI (ADA) technologies permeate most societies worldwide because of their proven benefits in differen..

Can Groups Improve Expert Economic and Financial Forecasts?

Warwick Smith, Anca M Hanea, Mark A Burgman

Journal article  |  2022  |  Forecasting

Economic and financial forecasts are important for business planning and government policy but are notoriously challenging. We tak..

Bayesian networks for risk analysis and decision support

Anca M Hanea, Annemarie Christophersen, Sandra Alday

Journal article  |  2022  |  RISK ANALYSIS

Are Experts Well-Calibrated? An Equivalence-Based Hypothesis Test.

Gayan Dharmarathne, Anca M Hanea, Andrew Robinson

Journal article  |  2022  |  Entropy (Basel)

Estimates based on expert judgements of quantities of interest are commonly used to supplement or replace measurements when the la..

Reimagining peer review as an expert elicitation process

Alexandru Marcoci, Ans Vercammen, Martin Bush, Daniel G Hamilton, Anca Hanea, Victoria Hemming, Bonnie C Wintle, Mark Burgman, Fiona Fidler

Journal article  |  2022  |  BMC RESEARCH NOTES

Journal peer review regulates the flow of ideas through an academic discipline and thus has the power to shape what a research com..

Editorial: Multivariate Probabilistic Modelling for Risk and Decision Analysis

AM Hanea, GF Nane

Journal article  |  2022  |  Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics

Co-designing and building an expert-elicited non-parametric Bayesian network model: demonstrating a methodology using a Bonamia Ostreae spread risk case study

Anca M Hanea, Zoe Hilton, Knight Ben, Andrew P Robinson

Journal article  |  2022  |  RISK ANALYSIS

The development and use of probabilistic models, particularly Bayesian networks (BN), to support risk-based decision making is wel..

Mathematically aggregating experts' predictions of possible futures

AM Hanea, DP Wilkinson, M McBride, A Lyon, D van Ravenzwaaij, F Singleton Thorn, C Gray, DR Mandel, A Willcox, E Gould, ET Smith, F Mody, M Bush, F Fidler, H Fraser, BC Wintle

Journal article  |  2021  |  PLOS ONE

Structured protocols offer a transparent and systematic way to elicit and combine/aggregate, probabilistic predictions from multip..

Predicting species and community responses to global change using structured expert judgement: An Australian mountain ecosystems case study

James S Camac, Kate DL Umbers, John W Morgan, Sonya R Geange, Anca Hanea, Rachel A Slatyer, Keith L McDougall, Susanna E Venn, Peter A Vesk, Ary A Hoffmann, Adrienne B Nicotra

Journal article  |  2021  |  GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Conservation managers are under increasing pressure to make decisions about the allocation of finite resources to protect biodiver..