Anca Hanea

What is a Good Calibration Question?

Victoria Hemming, Anca M Hanea, Mark A Burgman

Journal article  |  2021  |  Risk Analysis

Weighted aggregation of expert judgments based on their performance on calibration questions may improve mathematically aggregated..

Uncertainty Quantification with Experts: Present Status and Research Needs

Anca M Hanea, Victoria Hemming, Gabriela F Nane

Journal article  |  2021  |  Risk Analysis

Expert elicitation is deployed when data are absent or uninformative and critical decisions must be made. In designing an expert e..

An In-Depth Perspective on the Classical Model

AM Hanea, GF Nane

Book Chapter  |  2021  |  International Series in Operations Research and Management Science

Introduction and Overview of Structured Expert Judgement

S French, AM Hanea, T Bedford, GF Nane

Book Chapter  |  2021  |  International Series in Operations Research and Management Science

Building on Foundations: An Interview with Roger Cooke

GF Nane, AM Hanea

Book Chapter  |  2021  |  International Series in Operations Research and Management Science

What is an optimal value of k in k-fold cross-validation in discrete Bayesian network analysis?

Bruce G Marcot, Anca M Hanea

Journal article  |  2020  |  Computational Statistics

Weighting and aggregating expert ecological judgments

Victoria Hemming, Anca M Hanea, Terry Walshe, Mark A Burgman

Journal article  |  2020  |  Ecological Applications

Performance weighted aggregation of expert judgments, using calibration questions, has been advocated to improve pooled quantitati..

Levee System Reliability Modeling: The Length Effect and Bayesian Updating

Kathryn Roscoe, Anca Hanea, Ruben Jongejan, Ton Vrouwenvelder

Journal article  |  2020  |  Safety

In levee system reliability, the length effect is the term given to the phenomenon that the longer the levee, the higher the proba..

Improving expert forecasts in reliability: Application and evidence for structured elicitation protocols

Victoria Hemming, Nicholas Armstrong, Mark A Burgman, Anca M Hanea

Journal article  |  2019  |  Quality and Reliability Engineering International

Calibrating experts' probabilistic assessments for improved probabilistic predictions

AM Hanea, GF Nane

Journal article  |  2019  |  Safety Science