Tony Blakely

Short-run effects of poverty on asthma, ear infections and health service use: analysis of the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children.

Rebecca Bentley, Koen Simons, Amanda Kvelsvig, Barry Milne, Tony Blakely

Journal article  |  2021  |  International Journal of Epidemiology

BACKGROUND: Many studies have reported an inferred causal association of income poverty with physical health among children; but m..

The indirect health impacts of COVID19 restrictions: a strong debate informed by weak evidence

Driss Ait Ouakrim, Ameera Katar, Patrick Abraham, Nathan Grills, Tony Blakely

Journal article  |  2021

KEY MESSAGES There has been concern, and much heated debate, on the possible negative effects of restrictions, stay-at-home order..

Should prioritising health interventions be informed by modelling studies? The case of cancer control in Aotearoa New Zealand

Nick Wilson, Leah Grout, Jennifer Summers, Amanda C Jones, Anja Mizdrak, Nhung Nghiem, Cristina Cleghorn, Tony Blakely

Journal article  |  2021  |  The New Zealand Medical Journal

In this viewpoint, we suggest that policymakers should prioritise health interventions by using evidence around health gain, impac..

Estimating the Failure Risk of Hotel-based Quarantine for Preventing COVID-19 Outbreaks in Australia and New Zealand

Leah Grout, Ameera Katar, Driss Ait Ouakrim, Jennifer Summers, Amanda Kvalsvig, Michael Baker, Tony Blakely, Nick Wilson

Journal article  |  2021

Aim With increasing global use of hotel-based quarantine as part of COVID-19 border control efforts, we aimed to assess its risk o..

Estimating the risk of outbreaks of COVID-9 associated with shore leave by merchant ship crews: simulation studies for New Zealand

Nick Wilson, Tony Blakely, Michael G Baker, Martin Eichner

Journal article  |  2021  |  The New Zealand Medical Journal

AIM: We aimed to estimate the risk of COVID-19 outbreaks in a COVID-19-free destination country (New Zealand) associated with shor..

Causal ordering among risk factors in the PURE study

Tony Blakely, Neil Pearce, John Lynch, Shyamali Dharmage, Melissa Russell, Deborah Lawlor, Rebecca Bentley

Journal article  |  2021  |  The Lancet

Hitting the Target but Missing the Point? Modelling Health and Economic Impacts of Different Approaches to Meeting the Global Action Plan for Physical Activity Target

Anja Mizdrak, Ding Ding, Christine Cleghorn, Tony Blakely, Justin Richards

Journal article  |  2021  |  Sports Medicine

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization launched the Global Action Plan for Physical Activity (GAPPA) in 2018, which set a globa..

Elimination could be the optimal response strategy for covid-19 and other emerging pandemic diseases

Michael G Baker, Nick Wilson, Tony Blakely

Journal article  |  2020  |  The BMJ

Reflection on modern methods: when worlds collide-prediction, machine learning and causal inference

Tony Blakely, John Lynch, Koen Simons, Rebecca Bentley, Sherri Rose

Journal article  |  2020  |  International Journal of Epidemiology

Causal inference requires theory and prior knowledge to structure analyses, and is not usually thought of as an arena for the appl..

Food Health Star Labels Are Driving Healthier Products

Laxman Bablani, Tony Blakely, Cliona Ni Mhurchu, Bruce Neal, Christopher Skeels, Kevin Staub

Scholarly Contribution to Database/Website  |  2020

Food labels are improving the nutrition of packaged products in Australia and New Zealand, but they must be compulsory to make a b..