Roslyn Hickson

A simple influenza model with complicated dynamics

MG Roberts, RI Hickson, JM McCaw, L Talarmain

Journal article  |  2019  |  JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY

We propose and analyse a model for the dynamics of a single strain of an influenza-like infection. The model incorporates waning a..

Risk prediction system for dengue transmission based on high resolution weather data

Chathurika Hettiarachchige, Stefan von Cavallar, Timothy Lynar, Roslyn Hickson, Manoj Gambhir

Journal article  |  2018  |  PLOS ONE

BACKGROUND: Dengue is the fastest spreading vector-borne viral disease, resulting in an estimated 390 million infections annually...

The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities

Ada WC Yan, Andrew J Black, James M McCaw, Nicolas Rebuli, Joshua Ross, Annalisa J Swan, Roslyn Hickson

Journal article  |  2018  |  MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES

Assessing the risk of disease spread between communities is important in our highly connected modern world. However, the impact of..

A framework for optimal health worker allocation in under-resourced regions

B Goudey, RI Hickson, CKH Hettiarachchige, M Pore, C Reeves, OJ Smith, A Swan

Journal article  |  2017  |  IBM JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT

The effectiveness of health systems is dependent on the availability of health workers and their distribution across a healthcare ..

The effect of Wolbachia on dengue outbreaks when dengue is repeatedly introduced

Meksiallis Z Ndii, David Allingham, RI Hickson, Kathryn Glass

Journal article  |  2016  |  THEORETICAL POPULATION BIOLOGY

Use of the Wolbachia bacterium is a proposed new strategy to reduce dengue transmission, which results in around 390 million indiv..

The effect of Wolbachia on dengue dynamics in the presence of two serotypes of dengue: symmetric and asymmetric epidemiological characteristics

MZ Ndii, D Allingham, RI Hickson, K Glass

Journal article  |  2016  |  EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION

An innovative strategy to reduce dengue transmission uses the bacterium Wolbachia. We analysed the effects of Wolbachia on dengue ..

Model-Informed Risk Assessment and Decision Making for an Emerging Infectious Disease in the Asia-Pacific Region

Robert Moss, Roslyn I Hickson, Jodie McVernon, James M McCaw, Krishna Hort, Jim Black, John R Madden, Nhi H Tran, Emma S McBryde, Nicholas Geard

Journal article  |  2016  |  PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES

BACKGROUND: Effective response to emerging infectious disease (EID) threats relies on health care systems that can detect and cont..

Modelling the transmission dynamics of dengue in the presence of Wolbachia

Meksianis Z Ndii, RI Hickson, David Allingham, GN Mercer

Journal article  |  2015  |  MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES

Use of the bacterium Wolbachia is an innovative new strategy designed to break the cycle of dengue transmission. There are two mai..

Strengthening Tuberculosis Control Overseas: Who Benefits?

Thi Minh Nguyen Hoa, Roslyn I Hickson, Tom Kompas, Geoffry N Mercer, Kamalini M Lokuge

Journal article  |  2015  |  VALUE IN HEALTH

BACKGROUND: Although tuberculosis is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, available funding falls far short of that..

How population heterogeneity in susceptibility and infectivity influences epidemic dynamics

RI Hickson, MG Roberts

Journal article  |  2014  |  JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

An important concern in public health is what population group should be prioritised for vaccination. To this end, we present an e..