Hydrologic modelling for a changing world

Watersheds may not recover from drought

Tim J Peterson, M Saft, MC Peel, A John

2021-05-14

The Millennium Drought (southeastern Australia) provided a natural experiment to challenge the assumption that watershed streamflo..

A Brief Analysis of Conceptual Model Structure Uncertainty Using 36 Models and 559 Catchments

WJM Knoben, JE Freer, MC Peel, KJA Fowler, RA Woods

2020-09-01

The choice of hydrological model structure, that is, a model's selection of states and fluxes and the equations used to describe t..

Equifinality and Flux Mapping: A New Approach to Model Evaluation and Process Representation Under Uncertainty

Sina Khatami, Murray C Peel, Tim J Peterson, Andrew W Western

2019-11-12

Uncertainty analysis is an integral part of any scientific modeling, particularly within the domain of hydrological sciences given..

Amplification of risks to water supply at 1.5°C and 2°C in drying climates: a case study for Melbourne, Australia

Benjamin J Henley, Murray C Peel, Rory Nathan, Andrew David King, Anna M Ukkola, David J Karoly, Kim S Tan

2019-08-02

Human-induced climate change poses a major threat to the reliable water supply in many highly populated regions. Here we combine ..

Uncertainty in stage-discharge rating curves: application to Australian Hydrologic Reference Stations data

Thomas A McMahon, Murray C Peel

2019-02-17

The purpose of this paper is to determine uncertainty in the gauged range of the stage–gauged discharge relationship for 622 ratin..

Simulating Runoff Under Changing Climatic Conditions: A Framework for Model Improvement

K Fowler, Gemma Coxon, Jim Freer, Murray Peel, Thorsten Wagener, Andrew Western, Ross Woods, Lu Zhang

2018-10-01

Rainfall-runoff models are often deficient under changing climatic conditions, yet almost no recent studies propose new or improve..

Trends in winter fog events in the Terai region of Nepal

Shreemat Shrestha, Graham A Moore, Murray C Peel

2018-09-15

Winter fog events of the Indo Gangetic plain (IGP) including the Terai area of Nepal are considered to be one of the important pub..

Vulnerability of Ecological Condition to the Sequencing of Wet and Dry Spells Prior to and during the Murray-Darling Basin Millennium Drought

Jun Wang, Avril Horne, Rory Nathan, Murray Peel, Ian Neave

2018-08-01

Droughts are a significant stressor for water supply systems and freshwater ecosystems. Studies on drought risks and impacts have ..

Improved Rainfall‐Runoff Calibration for Drying Climate: Choice of Objective Function

K Fowler, M Peel, A Western, L Zhang

2018-05-01

It has been widely shown that rainfall‐runoff models often provide poor and biased simulations after a change in climate, but evid..

The first 300-year streamflow reconstruction of a high-elevation river in Chile using tree rings

Pilar Barria, Murray C Peel, Kevin JE Walsh, Ariel Munoz

2018-01-01

In central Chile, increasing demand for water and decreasing runoff volumes due to drier conditions have placed catchments in this..

Evaluating four downscaling methods for assessment of climate change impact on ecological indicators

Jun Wang, Rory Nathan, Avril Horne, Murray C Peel, Yongping Wei, John Langford

2017-10-01

Assessments of climate change impacts on freshwater ecosystems are generally based on global climate models (GCMs) and ecologicall..

Analysis of within and between-GCM uncertainties of runoff projections in Mediterranean-like catchments

Pilar A Barria, Murray C Peel, Kevin JE Walsh, Rene Garreaud

2017-01-01

Predicting shifts in rainfall-runoff partitioning during multiyear drought: Roles of dry period and catchment characteristics

Margarita Saft, Murray C Peel, Andrew W Western, Lu Zhang

2016-12-01

While the majority of hydrological prediction methods assume that observed interannual variability explores the full range of catc..

Historical developments of models for estimating evaporation using standard meteorological data

TA McMahon, BL Finlayson, MC Peel

2016-11-01

Evaporation plays a key role in the hydrology of a catchment. World-wide actual terrestrial evaporation is approximately two third..

Simulating runoff under changing climatic conditions: Revisiting an apparent deficiency of conceptual rainfall-runoff models

Keirnan JA Fowler, Murray C Peel, Andrew W Western, Lu Zhang, Tim J Peterson

2016-03-01

Hydrologic models have potential to be useful tools in planning for future climate variability. However, recent literature suggest..

Bias in streamflow projections due to climate-induced shifts in catchment response

Margarita Saft, Murray C Peel, Andrew W Western, Jean-Michel Perraud, Lu Zhang

2016-02-28

Demand for quantitative assessments of likely climate change impact on runoff is increasing and conceptual rainfall-runoff models ..

Uncertainties in runoff projections in southwestern Australian catchments using a global climate model with perturbed physics

Pilar Barria, Kevin JE Walsh, Murray C Peel, David Karoly

2015-10-01

Future projections of water supply under climate change scenarios are fundamental for efficient water resource planning. However, ..

The effect of year-to-year variability of leaf area index on Variable Infiltration Capacity model performance and simulation of runoff

ZK Tesemma, Y Wei, MC Peel, AW Western

2015-09-01

This study assessed the effect of using observed monthly leaf area index (LAI) on hydrological model performance and the simulatio..

The influence of multiyear drought on the annual rainfall-runoff relationship: An Australian perspective

Margarita Saft, Andrew W Western, Lu Zhang, Murray C Peel, Nick J Potter

2015-04-01

Most current long-term (decadal and longer) hydrological predictions implicitly assume that hydrological processes are stationary ..

Approximating uncertainty of annual runoff and reservoir yield using stochastic replicates of global climate model data

MC Peel, R Srikanthan, TA McMahon, DJ Karoly

2015-01-01

Two key sources of uncertainty in projections of future runoff for climate change impact assessments are uncertainty between globa..

Assessment of precipitation and temperature data from CMIP3 global climate models for hydrologic simulation

TA McMahon, MC Peel, DJ Karoly

2015-01-01

The objective of this paper is to identify better performing Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3) global climate ..

Including the dynamic relationship between climatic variables and leaf area index in a hydrological model to improve streamflow prediction under a changing climate

ZK Tesemma, Y Wei, MC Peel, AW Western

2015-01-01

Anthropogenic climate change is projected to enrich the atmosphere with carbon dioxide, change vegetation dynamics and influence t..

Long-run persistence in reservoir inflows: Empirical Mode Decomposition in Sydney and Melbourne

RL Kidson, NM Taylor, BM Haddad, KJ Langford, M PEEL, AW Western, TA McMahon, AJM Kuss

2015-01-01

Leaf Area Index Variation for Crop, Pasture, and Tree in Response to Climatic Variation in the Goulburn-Broken Catchment, Australia

Zelalem K Tesemma, Yongping Wei, Andrew W Western, Murray C Peel

2014-08-01

<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>Previous studies have reported relationships between mean annual climatic..

Estimating evaporation based on standard meteorological data - progress since 2007

Murray C Peel, Thomas A McMahon

2014-04-01

Estimating evaporation from standard meteorological data continues to be an active area of research and practical application. Her..