Hydrologic modelling for a changing world
Grant number: FT120100130 | Funding period: 2013 - 2018
Realistic modelling of streamflow under climate change requires development of new hydrologic modelling techniques that are robust under changing conditions. This project will develop and test those new techniques and apply them to the latest climate change projections to assess the likely climate change impact on Australia’s water resources.
Related publications (24)
Equifinality and Flux Mapping: A New Approach to Model Evaluation and Process Representation Under Uncertainty
Sina Khatami, Murray C Peel, Tim J Peterson, Andrew W Western
Uncertainty analysis is an integral part of any scientific modeling, particularly within the domain of hydrological sciences given..
Amplification of risks to water supply at 1.5°C and 2°C in drying climates: a case study for Melbourne, Australia
Benjamin J Henley, Murray C Peel, Rory Nathan, Andrew David King, Anna M Ukkola, David J Karoly, Kim S Tan
Human-induced climate change poses a major threat to the reliable water supply in many highly populated regions. Here we combine ..
Simulating Runoff Under Changing Climatic Conditions: A Framework for Model Improvement
K Fowler, Gemma Coxon, Jim Freer, Murray Peel, Thorsten Wagener, Andrew Western, Ross Woods, Lu Zhang
Rainfall-runoff models are often deficient under changing climatic conditions, yet almost no recent studies propose new or improve..
Vulnerability of Ecological Condition to the Sequencing of Wet and Dry Spells Prior to and during the Murray-Darling Basin Millennium Drought
Jun Wang, Avril Horne, Rory Nathan, Murray Peel, Ian Neave
Droughts are a significant stressor for water supply systems and freshwater ecosystems. Studies on drought risks and impacts have ..
Evaluating four downscaling methods for assessment of climate change impact on ecological indicators
Jun Wang, Rory Nathan, Avril Horne, Murray C Peel, Yongping Wei, John Langford
Assessments of climate change impacts on freshwater ecosystems are generally based on global climate models (GCMs) and ecologicall..
Predicting shifts in rainfall-runoff partitioning during multiyear drought: Roles of dry period and catchment characteristics
Margarita Saft, Murray C Peel, Andrew W Western, Lu Zhang
While the majority of hydrological prediction methods assume that observed interannual variability explores the full range of catc..
Simulating runoff under changing climatic conditions: Revisiting an apparent deficiency of conceptual rainfall-runoff models
Keirnan JA Fowler, Murray C Peel, Andrew W Western, Lu Zhang, Tim J Peterson
Hydrologic models have potential to be useful tools in planning for future climate variability. However, recent literature suggest..
Bias in streamflow projections due to climate-induced shifts in catchment response
Margarita Saft, Murray C Peel, Andrew W Western, Jean-Michel Perraud, Lu Zhang
Demand for quantitative assessments of likely climate change impact on runoff is increasing and conceptual rainfall-runoff models ..
Uncertainties in runoff projections in southwestern Australian catchments using a global climate model with perturbed physics
Pilar Barria, Kevin JE Walsh, Murray C Peel, David Karoly
Future projections of water supply under climate change scenarios are fundamental for efficient water resource planning. However, ..
The effect of year-to-year variability of leaf area index on Variable Infiltration Capacity model performance and simulation of runoff
ZK Tesemma, Y Wei, MC Peel, AW Western
This study assessed the effect of using observed monthly leaf area index (LAI) on hydrological model performance and the simulatio..
The influence of multiyear drought on the annual rainfall-runoff relationship: An Australian perspective
Margarita Saft, Andrew W Western, Lu Zhang, Murray C Peel, Nick J Potter
Most current long-term (decadal and longer) hydrological predictions implicitly assume that hydrological processes are stationary ..
Approximating uncertainty of annual runoff and reservoir yield using stochastic replicates of global climate model data
MC Peel, R Srikanthan, TA McMahon, DJ Karoly
Two key sources of uncertainty in projections of future runoff for climate change impact assessments are uncertainty between globa..
Including the dynamic relationship between climatic variables and leaf area index in a hydrological model to improve streamflow prediction under a changing climate
ZK Tesemma, Y Wei, MC Peel, AW Western
Anthropogenic climate change is projected to enrich the atmosphere with carbon dioxide, change vegetation dynamics and influence t..
Leaf Area Index Variation for Crop, Pasture, and Tree in Response to Climatic Variation in the Goulburn-Broken Catchment, Australia
Zelalem K Tesemma, Yongping Wei, Andrew W Western, Murray C Peel
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>Previous studies have reported relationships between mean annual climatic..