Non- confidential SWARM project
| Funding period: 2017 - 2018
Related publications (3)
Verbal probabilities: <it>Very likely</it> to be <it>somewhat</it> more confusing than numbers
Bonnie Wintle, Hannah Fraser, Ben Wills, Ann Nicholson, Fiona Fidler
People interpret verbal expressions of probabilities (e.g. 'very likely') in different ways, yet words are commonly preferred to n..
Better Together: Reliable Application of the Post-9/11 and Post-Iraq US Intelligence Tradecraft Standards Requires Collective Analysis
Alexandru Marcoci, Mark Burgman, Ariel Kruger, Elizabeth Silver, Marissa McBride, Felix Singleton Thorn, Hannah Fraser, Bonnie C Wintle, Fiona Fidler, Ans Vercammen
Background: The events of 9/11 and the October 2002 National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq's Continuing Programs for Weapons of Ma..
Eliciting improved quantitative judgements using the IDEA protocol: A case study in natural resource management
Victoria Hemming, Terry Walshe, Anca M Hanea, Fiona Fidler, Mark A Burgman
INTRODUCTION: Natural resource management uses expert judgement to estimate facts that inform important decisions. Unfortunately, ..