Conference Proceedings

Dynamic modelling of energy transitions using a coupled modelling-narrative approach

EA Moallemi, FJ de Haan, B George, JM Webb, L Aye, T Weber (ed.), MJ McPhee (ed.), RS Anderssen (ed.)

21ST INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON MODELLING AND SIMULATION (MODSIM2015) | Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand | Published : 2015

Abstract

Abstract: Energy transitions are a matter of competitions between multiple emerging systems and a dominant, established system. Understanding the complex dynamics of these interactions can assist better-informed decision making and policy interventions. This paper presents a coupled modelling-narrative approach, consisting of a System Dynamics (SD) model interlinked with a narrative transitions-theoretical framework. The approach is geared at understanding the dynamics of emerging on-grid electricity sources, such as renewables, in power sector transitions. The value of implementing such a coupled approach is twofold. Firstly, it empowers the SD modelling process. As SD modelling itself is ..

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