Journal article
Predicting the impact of climate change on Australia's most endangered snake, Hoplocephalus bungaroides
TD Penman, DA Pike, JK Webb, R Shine
Diversity and Distributions | Published : 2010
Abstract
Aim To predict how the bioclimatic envelope of the broad-headed snake (BHS) (Hoplocephalus bungaroides) may be redistributed under future climate warming scenarios. Location South-eastern New South Wales, Australia. Methods We used 159 independent locations for the species and 35 climatic variables to model the bioclimatic envelope for the BHS using two modelling approaches - Bioclim and Maxent. Predictions were made under current climatic conditions and we also predicted the species distribution under low and high climate change scenarios for 2030 and 2070. Results Broad-headed snakes currently encompass their entire bioclimatic envelope. Both modelling approaches predict that suitable clim..
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Funding Acknowledgements
We thank researchers who provided locality records, particularly Phil Craven, Gary Daly, Mark Fitzgerald, Rachel Melrose and Jai Thomas. We thank Meagan Ewings for providing access to the New South Wales National Parks and Wildlife Service locality database. Frank Lemckert, Betsy Roznik and Alison Towerton provided encouragement, advice and logistic support. Rod Kavanagh and Reid Tingley provided comments on an early draft of this manuscript. Financial support was provided by the Australian Reptile Park, Australian Research Council, Forests New South Wales, the Hawkesbury-Nepean Catchment Authority, New South Wales Department of Environment and Climate Change and Zoos Victoria.