Who "jumps to conclusions"? A comprehensive assessment of probabilistic reasoning in psychosis following traumatic brain injury (PFTBI), and comparison with TBI, schizophrenia, and nonclinical controls

Abstract

Introduction. The "jumping to conclusions" (JTC) bias has received significant attention in the schizophrenia and delusion literature as an important aspect of cognition characterising psychosis. The JTC bias has not been explored in psychosis following traumatic brain injury (PFTBI).Methods. JTC was investigated in 10 patients with PFTBI using the beads task (ratios 85:15 and 60:40). Probabilistic predictions, draws-to-decision, self-rated decision confidence, and JTC bias were recorded. Responses from 10 patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI), 23 patients with schizophrenia, and 23 nonclinical controls were compared. Relationships were explored between draws-to-decision and current int..