Journal article

Global access to surgical care: a modelling study

Blake C Alkire, Nakul P Raykar, Mark G Shrime, Thomas G Weiser, Stephen W Bickler, John A Rose, Cameron T Nutt, Sarah LM Greenberg, Meera Kotagal, Johanna N Riesel, Micaela Esquivel, Tarsicio Uribe-Leitz, George Molina, Nobhojit Roy, John G Meara, Paul E Farmer

LANCET GLOBAL HEALTH | ELSEVIER SCI LTD | Published : 2015

Abstract

BACKGROUND: More than 2 billion people are unable to receive surgical care based on operating theatre density alone. The vision of the Lancet Commission on Global Surgery is universal access to safe, affordable surgical and anaesthesia care when needed. We aimed to estimate the number of individuals worldwide without access to surgical services as defined by the Commission's vision. METHODS: We modelled access to surgical services in 196 countries with respect to four dimensions: timeliness, surgical capacity, safety, and affordability. We built a chance tree for each country to model the probability of surgical access with respect to each dimension, and from this we constructed a statistica..

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University of Melbourne Researchers