Journal article

Health, health inequality, and cost impacts of annual increases in tobacco tax: Multistate life table modeling in New Zealand

T Blakely, LJ Cobiac, CL Cleghorn, AL Pearson, FS van der Deen, G Kvizhinadze, N Nghiem, M McLeod, N Wilson

Plos Medicine | PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE | Published : 2015

Abstract

Background Countries are increasingly considering how to reduce or even end tobacco consumption, and raising tobacco taxes is a potential strategy to achieve these goals. We estimated the impacts on health, health inequalities, and health system costs of ongoing tobacco tax increases (10% annually from 2011 to 2031, compared to no tax increases from 2011 [“business as usual,” BAU]), in a country (New Zealand) with large ethnic inequalities in smokingrelated and noncommunicable disease (NCD) burden. Methods and Findings We modeled 16 tobacco-related diseases in parallel, using rich national data by sex, age, and ethnicity, to estimate undiscounted quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained an..

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University of Melbourne Researchers

Grants

Awarded by National Health and Medical Research Council


Funding Acknowledgements

The authors are supported by the BODE3 Programme, which is studying the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of various tobacco control strategies and receives funding support from the Health Research Council of New Zealand (Project number 10/248). The second author (LJC) was also supported by a National Health and Medical Research Council Sidney Sax Public Health Fellowship (#1036771). No funding bodies had any role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.