Simulating the dynamic effect of land use and transport policies on the health of populations

Abstract

Objectives: We identified the features of a land use-transportation system that optimizes the health and well-being of the population. Methods: We developed a quantitative system dynamics model to represent relationships among land use, transport, economic development, and population health. Simulation experiments were conducted over a 10-year simulation period to compare the effect of different baseline conditions and land use-transport policies on the number of motor vehicle crash deaths and disability adjusted life years lost. Results: Optimal reduction in the public health burden attributable to land transport was demonstrated when transport safety risk reduction policies were combined w..