Journal article

Sensitivity of simulated CO2 concentration to sub-annual variations in fossil fuel CO2 emissions

X Zhang, KR Gurney, P Rayner, D Baker, Y-P Liu

Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions | Copernicus GmbH


Abstract. Recent advances in fossil fuel CO2 (FFCO2) emission inventories enable sensitivity tests of simulated atmospheric CO2 concentrations to sub-annual variations in FFCO2 emissions and what this implies for the interpretation of observed CO2. Six experiments are conducted to investigate the potential impact of three cycles of FFCO2 emission variability (diurnal, weekly and monthly) using a global tracer transport model. Results show an annual FFCO2 rectification varying from −1.35 to +0.13 ppm from the combination of all three cycles. This rectification is driven by a large negative diurnal FFCO2 rectification due to the covariation of diurnal FFCO2 emissions and diurnal vertical mixin..

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University of Melbourne Researchers

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