Journal article

Synthesizing long-term sea level rise projections – the MAGICC sea level model

Alexander Nauels, Malte Meinshausen, Matthias Mengel, Katja Lorbacher, Tom ML Wigley

Copernicus GmbH


Abstract. Sea level rise is one of the major impacts of global warming; it will threaten coastal populations, infrastructure, and ecosystems around the globe in coming centuries. Well-constrained sea level projections are needed to estimate future losses from Sea Level Rise (SLR) and benefits of climate protection and adaptation. Process-based models that are designed to resolve the underlying physics of individual sea level drivers form the basis for state-of-the-art sea level projections. However, associated computational costs allow for only a small number of simulations based on selected scenarios that often vary for different sea level components. This approach does not sufficiently sup..

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