Journal article

Managing Risk and Increasing the Robustness of Invasive Species Eradication Programs

Daniel Spring, Tom Kompas

ASIA & THE PACIFIC POLICY STUDIES | WILEY | Published : 2015

Abstract

Invasive species eradication programs can fail by applying management strategies that are not robust to potentially large but non-quantified risks. A more robust strategy can succeed over a larger range of possible values for non-quantified risk. This form of robustness analysis is often not undertaken in eradication program evaluations. The main non-quantified risk initially facing Australia's fire ant eradication program was that the invasion had spread further than expected. Earlier consideration of this risk could have led to a more robust strategy involving a larger area managed in the program's early stages. This strategy could potentially have achieved eradication at relatively low co..

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