Journal article

Estimating urban water demand under conditions of rapid growth: the case of Shanghai

Maotian Li, Brian Finlayson, Michael Webber, Jon Barnett, Sophie Webber, Sarah Rogers, Zhongyuan Chen, Taoyuan Wei, Jing Chen, Xiaodan Wu, Mark Wang



Many of the world’s major cities are expected to face significant water shortages in coming decades, largely due to increased demand arising from economic and population growth. In this paper, we estimate the effects of economic and population growth on future public water needs in Shanghai, one of the world’s megacities. Despite significant investment in a new reservoir and associated supply systems, and its location at the estuary of one the world’s major rivers (the Yangtze), it is widely believed that Shanghai is vulnerable to water shortages, though the causes of this have hitherto not been systematically examined. Our method of estimating future water needs involves extrapolation from ..

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Awarded by Australian Research Council

Awarded by National Natural Science Foundation of China

Funding Acknowledgements

This research is supported by the Australian Research Council (Grant No: P110103381) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41271520).