Reliable long-range ensemble streamflow forecasts: Combining calibrated climate forecasts with a conceptual runoff model and a staged error model
James C Bennett, QJ Wang, Ming Li, David E Robertson, Andrew Schepen
Water Resources Research | AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION | Published : 2016
This research has been supported by the Water Information Research and Development Alliance (WIRADA) between the Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO Land & Water. Thanks to Senlin Zhou, Julien Lerat, Paul Feikema and Daehyok Shin (all Bureau of Meteorology) for supplying data and for fruitful discussions on the development of FoGSS. Thanks to Kelvin Michael (University of Tasmania) and Luis Neumann (CSIRO) for comments on an earlier draft of this manuscript. Catchment maps in Figure 1 are generated using data from the Bureau of Meteorology Geofabric (http://www.bom.gov.au/water/geofabric/). The streamflow and climate data used in this study are listed in the references or are available from the CSIRO data access portal http://data.csiro.au/dap/. We thank Prof Andrew Western, Dr Massimiliano Zappa and two anonymous reviewers for thorough and constructive reviews of our manuscript.