Optimising seasonal streamflow forecast lead time for operational decision making in Australia
Andrew Schepen, Tongtiegang Zhao, QJ Wang, Senlin Zhou, Paul Feikema
HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES | COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH | Published : 2016
Statistical seasonal forecasts of 3-month streamflow totals are released in Australia by the Bureau of Meteorology and updated on a monthly basis. The forecasts are often released in the second week of the forecast period, due to the onerous forecast production process. The current service relies on models built using data for complete calendar months, meaning the forecast production process cannot begin until the first day of the forecast period. Somehow, the bureau needs to transition to a service that provides forecasts before the beginning of the forecast period; timelier forecast release will become critical as sub-seasonal (monthly) forecasts are developed. Increasing the forecast lead..View full abstract
This research was funded by the Water Information Research and Development Alliance (WIRADA), a partnership between CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.