Bayesian networks for decision analyses - An application to irrigation system selection

Abstract

Farmers are under continual pressure from Government and industry to change farm practices to meet productivity and environmental targets. In response to these pressures, farmers will make decisions to adopt practices that reflect their motivations and priorities. However, where the changes of practice are major, there may be considerable uncertainty associated with the decision-making process. Decision support tools are one method that may assist in reducing the uncertainty associated with decisions about changes in farm practices. Bayesian networks provide a useful tool to assist in the structuring and analysis of decision problems. A Bayesian network is a decision analysis framework, base..