Multisite probabilistic forecasting of seasonal flows for streams with zero value occurrences

Grants

Funding Acknowledgements

This research has been supported by the Water Information Research and Development Alliance between the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO Water for a Healthy Country Flagship, the South Eastern Australian Climate Initiative, and the CSIRO OCE Science Leadership Scheme. We would like to thank Neil Plummer, Jeff Perkins, Senlin Zhou, Andrew Schepen, Trudy Peatey, Daehyok Shin, Andrew Frost, and Sri Srikanthan from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology for many valuable discussions and suggestions as well as providing the streamflow and rainfall data for this study. We are grateful to Elizabeth Ebert and Robert Fawcett also from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology for valuable discussions on the new root-mean-square error in probability (RMSEP) skill score and for sharing with us their knowledge on forecast verification. We would also like to acknowledge the thorough reviews by David Post from CSIRO and three anonymous reviewers.