New statistical criteria detect phylogenetic bias caused by compositional heterogeneity

Abstract

In statistical phylogenetic analyses of DNA sequences, models of evolutionary change commonly assume that base composition is stationary through time and across lineages. This assumption is violated by many data sets, but it is unclear whether the magnitude of these violations is sufficient to mislead phylogenetic inference. We investigated the impacts of compositional heterogeneity on phylogenetic estimates using a method for assessing model adequacy. Based on a detailed simulation study, we found that common frequentist criteria are highly conservative, such that the model is often rejected when the phylogenetic estimates do not show clear signs of bias. We propose new criteria and provide..