Focus on poleward shifts in species' distribution underestimates the fingerprint of climate change
Jeremy VanDerWal, Helen T Murphy, Alex S Kutt, Genevieve C Perkins, Brooke L Bateman, Justin J Perry, April E Reside
Nature Climate Change | NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP | Published : 2013
Species are largely predicted to shift poleward as global temperatures increase, with this fingerprint of climate change being already observed across a range of taxonomic groups and, mostly temperate, geographic locations 1-5. However, the assumption of uni-directional distribution shifts does not account for complex interactions among temperature, precipitation and species-specific tolerances6, all of which shape the direction and magnitude of changes in a species' climatic niche. We analysed 60 years of past climate change on the Australian continent, assessing the velocity of changes in temperature and precipitation, as well as changes in climatic niche space for 464 Australian birds. We..View full abstract
We thank our colleagues B. Laurance, E. Vanderduys and B. Phillips for their comments on the paper. This work was financially supported by James Cook University, the Centre for Tropical Biodiversity & Climate Change and the CSIRO Climate Adaptation Flagship.