Journal article

Potential impacts of climate change on habitat suitability for the Queensland fruit fly

Sabira Sultana, John B Baumgartner, Bernard C Dominiak, Jane E Royer, Linda J Beaumont



Anthropogenic climate change is a major factor driving shifts in the distributions of pests and invasive species. The Queensland fruit fly, Bactrocera tryoni Froggatt (Qfly), is the most economically damaging insect pest of Australia's horticultural industry, and its management is a key priority for plant protection and biosecurity. Identifying the extent to which climate change may alter the distribution of suitable habitat for Qfly is important for the development and continuation of effective monitoring programs, phytosanitary measures, and management strategies. We used Maxent, a species distribution model, to map suitable habitat for Qfly under current climate, and six climate scenarios..

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University of Melbourne Researchers


Funding Acknowledgements

We gratefully acknowledge our data providers Lauren Donaldson (Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources, Victoria) and Nick Secomb (Plant Health Operations Biosecurity, PIRSA, South Australia). Special thanks to Professor Phil Taylor for his thoughtful comments. We also thank Dan Ryan (SIT plus Program Director, HIA) for his excellent comments on a previous draft of this manuscript, and two anonymous reviewers for their expertise. SS was supported by an International Macquarie University Research Excellence Scholarship (iMQRES).