Journal article

Forecasting the future burden of opioids for osteoarthritis

IN Ackerman, E Zomer, JFM Gilmartin-Thomas, D Liew

Osteoarthritis and Cartilage | ELSEVIER SCI LTD | Published : 2018

Abstract

Objective: To quantify the current national burden of opioids for osteoarthritis (OA) pain in Australia in terms of number of dispensed opioid prescriptions and associated costs, and to forecast the likely burden to the year 2030/31. Design: Epidemiological modelling. Methods: Published data were obtained on rates of opioid prescribing for people with OA and national OA prevalence projections. Trends in opioid dispensing from 2006 to 2016, and average costs for common opioid subtypes were obtained from the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme and Medicare Australia Statistics. Using these inputs, a model was developed to estimate the likely number of dispensed opioid prescriptions and costs to the..

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University of Melbourne Researchers

Grants

Funding Acknowledgements

Dr Gilmartin-Thomas is supported by a National Health and Medical Research Council-Australian Research Council Dementia Research Development Fellowship. These institutions had no role in the study design, collection, analysis and interpretation of data, in the writing of the manuscript, or in the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.