Journal article

A scenario process to inform Australian geoengineering policy

Anita Talberg, Sebastian Thomas, John Wiseman

FUTURES | ELSEVIER SCI LTD | Published : 2018


Geoengineering is a high-stakes policy issue that calls for research and debate that is pluralistic, reflexive and socially accountable. This paper reflects on an Australian geoengineering scenario project as a practical and innovative platform for informing governance. We produce multi-scale scenarios—representing Australia and the world— built on four fundamentally different archetypes, in which three include geoengineering. According to the four scenarios: greenhouse gas emissions continue increasing to 2050 but not long beyond; except with accelerated technology development and adoption, climate change impacts by 2050 become globally relevant; the risk of unilateral geoengineering deploy..

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Funding Acknowledgements

This work was partly supported by the EU Centre on Shared Complex Challenges, which is co-funded by the European Commission and The University of Melbourne.