Attributing high-impact extreme events across timescales-a case study of four different types of events
Friederike EL Otto, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Sihan Li, Andrew King, Heidi Cullen
Climatic Change | Springer (part of Springer Nature) | Published : 2018
Increasing likelihoods of extreme weather events is the most noticeable and damaging manifestation of anthropogenic climate change. In the aftermath of an extreme event, policy makers are often called upon to make timely and sensitive decisions about rebuilding and managing present and future risks. Information regarding whether, where and how present-day and future risks are changing is needed to adequately inform these decisions. But, this information is often not available and when it is, it is often not presented in a systematic way. Here, we demonstrate a seamless approach to the science of extreme event attribution and future risk assessment by using the same set of model ensembles to ..View full abstract
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Awarded by NERC
We would like to thank the volunteers running the weather@home models as well as the technical team in OeRC for their support. We would furthermore like to acknowledge funding from the McArthur foundation as well as the NERC grant NE/K006479/1.