Journal article
The association of rainfall and Buruli ulcer in southeastern Australia
A Yerramilli, EL Tay, AJ Stewardson, J Fyfe, DP O’Brien, PDR Johnson
Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases | PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE | Published : 2018
Open access
Abstract
Background: Buruli ulcer has been increasing in incidence in southeastern Australia with unclear transmission mechanisms. We aimed to investigate the link between rainfall and case numbers in two endemic areas of the state of Victoria; the Bellarine and Mornington Peninsulas. Methodology: We created yearly and monthly graphs comparing rainfall with local Buruli ulcer incidence for the period 2004–2016 by endemic region and then considered a range of time lag intervals of 0–24 months to investigate patterns of correlation. Conclusions: Optimal positive correlation for the Bellarine Peninsula occurred with a 12-month prior rainfall lag, however, no significant correlation was observed on the M..
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Awarded by National Health and Medical Research Council
Funding Acknowledgements
AJS is supported by a National Health and Medical Research Council Early Career Fellowship (APP1141398). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.