Journal article

Scenarios for land use and ecosystem services under global change

Maria Jose Martinez-Harms, Brett A Bryan, Eugenio Figueroa, Patricio Pliscoff, Rebecca K Runting, Kerrie A Wilson



Scenarios provide a platform to explore the provision of ecosystem services under global change. Despite their relevance to land-use policy, there is a paucity of such assessments, particularly in developing countries. Central Chile provides a good example from the Latin American realm as the region has experienced rapid transformation from natural landscapes to urbanization and agricultural development. Local experts from Central Chile identified climate change, urbanization, and fire regimes as key drivers of change. Scenarios depicting plausible future trajectories of change were developed to assess the combined effects on carbon storage, wine production, and scenic beauty for the year 20..

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University of Melbourne Researchers



Funding Acknowledgements

We thank Malcolm Nunn for his help processing geographic data. MMH is supported by the Ministry of Education from the Chilean Government fellowship and the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions scholarship. BAB was supported by CSIRO Agriculture and Food, and Land and Water. PP thanks financial support of FONDECYT-CHILE Nr. 11140357. MMH and RKR are supported by the University of Queensland - Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) Integrative Natural Resource Management Postgraduate Fellowship.