A dynamic discrete-choice model for movement flows

Abstract

We consider data where we have individuals affiliated with at most one organisational unit and where the interest is in modelling changes to these affiliations over time. This could be the case of people working for organisations or people living in neighbourhoods. We draw on dynamic models for social networks to propose an actor-oriented model for how these affiliations change over time. These models specifically take into account constraints of the system and allow for the system to be observed at discrete time-points. Constraints stem from the fact that for example not everybody can have the same job or live in the same neighbourhood, something which induces dependencies among the decisio..