Verbal probabilities: Very likely to be somewhat more confusing than numbers

Grants

Funding Acknowledgements

B.C. Wintle, HF, and FF were supported by a grant from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA, https://www.iarpa.gov/), under Contract [2017-16122000002]. AEN was supported by IARPA Contract [2017-16112300008]. B.C. Wills was supported by a Maguire Fellowship from Vassar College. The views and conclusions contained herein are those of the authors and should not be interpreted as necessarily representing the official policies, either expressed or implied, of ODNI, IARPA, or the U.S. Government. The U.S. Government is authorized to reproduce and distribute reprints for governmental purposes notwithstanding any copyright annotation therein. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.