Journal article

Substantial declines in urban tree habitat predicted under climate change

Hugh Burley, Linda J Beaumont, Alessandro Ossola, John B Baumgartner, Rachael Gallagher, Shawn Laffan, Manuel Esperon-Rodriguez, Anthony Manea, Michelle R Leishman



Globally, local governments are increasing investment in urban greening projects. However, there is little consideration of whether the species being planted will be resilient to climate change. We assessed the distribution of climatically suitable habitat, now and in the future, for 176 tree species native to Australia, commonly planted across Australia's Significant Urban Areas (SUAs) and currently grown by commercial nurseries. Species' occurrence records were obtained from inventories and herbaria, globally and across Australia, and combined with baseline climate data (WorldClim, 1960-1990) and six climate scenarios for 2030 and 2070 using climatic suitability models (CSMs). CSMs for eac..

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University of Melbourne Researchers


Funding Acknowledgements

The Which Plant Where project is funded by the Green Cities Fund, as part of the Hort Frontiers Strategic Partnership Initiative developed by Hort Innovation, with co-investment from Macquarie University, Western Sydney University and the NSW Office of Environment and Heritage, and funds from the Australian Government. We kindly acknowledge Leigh Staas, Mathew Plummer and the city council officers that kindly provided data and support.