Journal article

Accuracy of Nearly Extinct Cohort Methods for Estimating Very Elderly Subnational Populations

Wilma Terblanche, Tom Wilson

International Journal of Population Research | Hindawi Limited | Published : 2015


Increasing very elderly populations (ages 85+) have potentially major implications for the cost of income support, aged care, and healthcare. The availability of accurate estimates for this population age group, not only at a national level but also at a state or regional scale, is vital for policy development, budgeting, and planning for services. At the highest ages census-based population estimates are well known to be problematic and previous studies have demonstrated that more accurate estimates can be obtained indirectly from death data. This paper assesses indirect estimation methods for estimating state-level very elderly populations from death counts. A method for incorporating inte..

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