Journal article

Coastal dynamics and adaptation to uncertain sea level rise: Optimal portfolios for salt marsh migration

OD Vinent, RJ Johnston, ML Kirwan, AD Leroux, VL Martin

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management | Elsevier | Published : 2019


The sustainability of dynamic natural systems often depends on their capacity to adapt to uncertain climate-related changes, where different management options may be combined to facilitate this adaptation. Salt marshes exemplify such a system. Marsh sustainability under rapid sea level rise requires the preservation of transgression zones - undeveloped uplands onto which marshes migrate. Whether these uplands eventually become marsh depends on uncertain sea level rise and natural dynamics that determine migration onto different land types. Under conditions such as these, systematically diversified management actions generally outperform ad hoc or non-diversified alternatives. This paper dev..

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University of Melbourne Researchers


Awarded by U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Awarded by National Science Foundation

Funding Acknowledgements

Funding from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Grant NA16OAR4310153 and National Science Foundation Grant OCE-1427105 is acknowledged. We thank the VCR, GCE and PIE LTERs (National Science Foundation grants DEB-1832221, OCE-1832178 and OCE-1637630) for additional logistical support. The authors certify that they have no conflicts of interest associated with the material in this article.