Journal article
Exploring the usefulness of scenario archetypes in science-policy processes: Experience across IPBES assessments
N Sitas, ZV Harmáčková, JA Anticamara, A Arneth, R Badola, R Biggs, R Blanchard, L Brotons, M Cantele, K Coetzer, R Dasgupta, E Den Belder, S Ghosh, A Guisan, H Gundimeda, M Hamann, PA Harrison, S Hashimoto, J Hauck, BJ Klatt Show all
Ecology and Society | RESILIENCE ALLIANCE | Published : 2019
Open access
Abstract
Scenario analyses have been used in multiple science-policy assessments to better understand complex plausible futures. Scenario archetype approaches are based on the fact that many future scenarios have similar underlying storylines, assumptions, and trends in drivers of change, which allows for grouping of scenarios into typologies, or archetypes, facilitating comparisons between a large range of studies. The use of scenario archetypes in environmental assessments foregrounds important policy questions and can be used to codesign interventions tackling future sustainability issues. Recently, scenario archetypes were used in four regional assessments and one ongoing global assessment within..
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Awarded by Styrelsen för Internationellt Utvecklingssamarbete
Funding Acknowledgements
Nadia Sitas, Ryan Blanchard, and Patrick O'Farrell were supported by SwedBio at Stockholm Resilience Centre funded by the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (SIDA). Zuzana Harmackova and Reinette Biggs were supported by the GRAID programme funded by the Swedish International Development Agency (SIDA). Reinette Biggs was also supported by the South African Research Chairs Initiative (SARChI) (grant 98766) and the Swedish Research Council (grant 621-2014-5137). Eefje den Belder was funded by the Ministry of Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality of the Netherlands. Support to Paula A. Harrison was provided by UK Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs and the EU-funded IMPRESSIONS project (Grant Agreement 603416). We would also like to thank our reviewers for their constructive comments in shaping this paper.