Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017

TD Frank; A Carter; D Jahagirdar; MH Biehl; D Douwes-Schultz; SL Larson; M Arora; L Dwyer-Lindgren; KM Steuben; H Abbastabar; LJ Abu-Raddad; DM Abyu; M Adabi; OM Adebayo; V Adekanmbi; OO Adetokunboh; A Ahmadi; K Ahmadi; E Ahmadian; E Ahmadpour; MB Ahmed; CG Akal; F Alahdab; N Alam; SB Albertson; BTT Alemnew; KA Alene; V Alipour; N Alvis-Guzman; S Amini; Z Anbari; NH Anber; M Anjomshoa; CAT Antonio; J Arabloo; O Aremu; HA Areri; ET Asfaw; AF Ashagre; D Asmelash; AA Asrat; EFGA Avokpaho; A Awasthi; N Awoke; MA Ayanore; S Azari; A Badawi; M Bagherzadeh; M Banach; A Barac; TW Bärnighausen; S Basu; N Bedi; M Behzadifar; BB Bekele; SA Belay; YB Belay; YMM Belayneh; A Berhane; AG Bhat; K Bhattacharyya; B Biadgo; A Bijani; M Shahdaat Bin Sayeed; H Bitew; A Blinov; KA Bogale; HA Bojia; SBN Burugina Nagaraja; ZA Butt; L Cahuana-Hurtado; JC Campuzano Rincon; F Carvalho; VK Chattu; DJ Christopher; DT Chu; R Crider; T Dahiru; L Dandona; R Dandona; A Daryani; J Das Neves; JW De Neve; L Degenhardt; FM Demeke; ABB Demis; DB Demissie; GT Demoz; K Deribe; D Des Jarlais; GP Dhungana; D Diaz; S Djalalinia; HP Do; LP Doan; H Duber; M Dubey; E Dubljanin; EE Duken; B Duko Adema

Journal article

Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017

TD Frank, A Carter, D Jahagirdar, MH Biehl, D Douwes-Schultz, SL Larson, M Arora, L Dwyer-Lindgren, KM Steuben, H Abbastabar, LJ Abu-Raddad, DM Abyu, M Adabi, OM Adebayo, V Adekanmbi, OO Adetokunboh, A Ahmadi, K Ahmadi, E Ahmadian, E Ahmadpour Show all

Lancet HIV | Published : 2019

DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(19)30196-1

Open access

Abstract

Background Understanding the patterns of HIV/AIDS epidemics is crucial to tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts in countries. We provide a comprehensive assessment of the levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, mortality, and coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for 1980-2017 and forecast these estimates to 2030 for 195 countries and territories. Methods We determined a modelling strategy for each country on the basis of the availability and quality of data. For countries and territories with data from population-based seroprevalence surveys or antenatal care clinics, we estimated prevalence and incidence using an open-source version of the E..

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University of Melbourne Researchers

Tissa Wijeratne Author

Stephanie Topp Author

Grants

Awarded by University of Namibia

Funding Acknowledgements

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, National Institute of Mental Health of the US National Institutes of Health (NIH), and the National Institute on Aging of the NIH.