Using species distribution models to assess the long-term impacts of changing oceanographic conditions on abalone density in south east Australia

Abstract

Warming from climate change and resulting increases in energy stored in the oceans is causing changes in the hydrodynamics and biogeochemistry of marine systems, exacerbating current challenges facing marine fisheries. Although studies have evaluated effects of rising temperatures on marine species, few have looked at these impacts along with other environmental drivers over long time periods. In this study, we associate long-term density of blacklip abalone to changing oceanographic conditions in a climate change ‘hot-spot’ off southeast Australia. We downscaled and hind-casted existing hydrodynamic models to provide information on waves and currents over 25 yr and used this information to ..