Journal article

Greater probability of extreme precipitation under 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming limits over East-Central Asia

M Zhang, H Yu, AD King, Y Wei, J Huang, Y Ren

Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change | Springer (part of Springer Nature) | Published : 2020

Abstract

East-Central Asia is one of the most vulnerable and sensitive regions to climate change, and the variability of extreme precipitation attracts great attention due to the large population and the importance of its economy. Here, three special runs with the Community Earth System Model (CESM) are used to project the changes in representative extreme precipitation indices (Rx1day, Rx5day, R95p, SDII) over East-Central Asia under the 1.5 °C and 2 °C Paris Agreement limits. The results indicate that Rx1day and Rx5day will increase by 28% and 15%, respectively, under the 1.5 °C warming level relative to the historical period (1971–2000). Most areas over East-Central Asia are projected to experienc..

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University of Melbourne Researchers

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