Journal article

Simulating future public health benefits of tobacco control interventions: a systematic review of models.

Ankur Singh, Nick Wilson, Tony Blakely

Tobacco Control | BMJ | Published : 2020

Abstract

BACKGROUND: To prioritise tobacco control interventions, simulating their health impacts is valuable. We undertook a systematic review of tobacco intervention simulation models to assess model structure and input variations that may render model outputs non-comparable. METHODS: We applied a Medline search with keywords intersecting modelling and tobacco. Papers were limited to those modelling health outputs (eg, mortality, health-adjusted life years), and at least two of cancer, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. Data were extracted for each simulation model with ≥3 arising papers, including: model type, untimed or with time steps and trends in business-as-usual (BAU) tobacco prevalenc..

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