Journal article

Delaying the COVID-19 epidemic in Australia: evaluating the effectiveness of international travel bans

Adeshina Adekunle, Michael Meehan, Diana Rojas-Alvarez, James Trauer, Emma McBryde

Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health | WILEY | Published : 2020

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Following the outbreak of novel Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), and the disease named COVID-19, in Wuhan, China in late 2019, countries have implemented different interventions such as travel bans to slow the spread of this novel virus. This brief report evaluates the effect of travel bans imposed to prevent COVID-19 importation in the Australian context. METHODS: We developed a stochastic meta-population model to capture the global dynamics and spread of COVID-19. By adjusting our model to capture the travel bans imposed globally and in Australia, the predicted COVID-19 cases imported to Australia were evaluated in comparison to observed imported cas..

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