Journal article

The Sensitivity of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to a Changing Climate: Past, Present, and Future

TL Noble, EJ Rohling, ARA Aitken, HC Bostock, Z Chase, N Gomez, LM Jong, MA King, AN Mackintosh, FS McCormack, RM McKay, L Menviel, SJ Phipps, ME Weber, CJ Fogwill, B Gayen, NR Golledge, DE Gwyther, A McC Hogg, YM Martos Show all

Reviews of Geophysics | AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION | Published : 2020


The Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) is out of equilibrium with the current anthropogenic-enhanced climate forcing. Paleoenvironmental records and ice sheet models reveal that the AIS has been tightly coupled to the climate system during the past and indicate the potential for accelerated and sustained Antarctic ice mass loss into the future. Modern observations by contrast suggest that the AIS has only just started to respond to climate change in recent decades. The maximum projected sea level contribution from Antarctica to 2100 has increased significantly since the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report, although estimates continue to evolve with new observational..

View full abstract

University of Melbourne Researchers


Awarded by Australian Research Council's Special Research Initiative for Antarctic Gateway Partnership

Awarded by Australian Research Council

Funding Acknowledgements

This review paper is the result of a workshop sponsored by the Australian Academy of Sciences Frederick and Elizabeth White Award, the Australian Research Council's Special Research Initiative for Antarctic Gateway Partnership (Project ID SR140300001), and the University of Tasmania. This work contributes to The Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science funded by Australian Research Council Project ID SR200100008. T. L. N. was supported by the Science Industry Endowment Fund John Stocker Postdoctoral Fellowship. The authors are grateful to C.-D. Hillenbrand and S. S. R. Jamieson for extensive and thorough reviews and for sharing their knowledge of all things Antarctic. Thanks to A. Durand for initial reference support, S. Cook and T. Staal for editing text, and L. Bell for graphic design.