A predictive framework to assess response of invasive invertebrates to climate change: pest mite species of Australian grains

Abstract

Climate change is set to place enormous pressure on both biodiversity and agricultural production. Important vectors of agricultural damage, such as pest invertebrates, are likely to respond to climate change in different ways. Differing pest invertebrate responses in grain crops will translate to shifts in outbreak frequency and persistence of pests, changes to pest species assemblages, and alter biocontrol by natural enemies. Successful management will thus require predictions of how climate change will affect individual species in terms of distributions and abundance. Climate change predictions for species are often based on models that characterize distributions though species-environmen..