Journal article
Towards advancing scientific knowledge of climate change impacts on short-duration rainfall extremes
HJ Fowler, H Ali, RP Allan, N Ban, R Barbero, P Berg, S Blenkinsop, NS Cabi, S Chan, M Dale, RJH Dunn, M Ekström, JP Evans, G Fosser, B Golding, SB Guerreiro, GC Hegerl, A Kahraman, EJ Kendon, G Lenderink Show all
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences | ROYAL SOC | Published : 2021
Abstract
A large number of recent studies have aimed at understanding short-duration rainfall extremes, due to their impacts on flash floods, landslides and debris flows and potential for these to worsen with global warming. This has been led in a concerted international effort by the INTENSE Crosscutting Project of the GEWEX (Global Energy and Water Exchanges) Hydroclimatology Panel. Here, we summarize the main findings so far and suggest future directions for research, including: the benefits of convection-permitting climate modelling; towards understanding mechanisms of change; the usefulness of temperature-scaling relations; towards detecting and attributing extreme rainfall change; and the need ..
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Awarded by Seventh Framework Programme
Funding Acknowledgements
H.J.F., S.B., S.B.G., E.L., D.P., X.L., H.A., S.C., A.K., G.L., R.B. and R.V.H. were supported by European Research Council (INTENSE; grant: no. ERC-2013-CoG-617329). H.J.F., S.B., S.C. and A.K. are funded by NERC-funded FUTURE-STORMS (NE/R01079X/1). H.J.F., S.C. and A.K. are funded by FUTUREDRAINAGE (NE/S017348/1). H.J.F. is funded by the Wolfson Foundation and the Royal Society as a Royal SocietyWolfson Research Merit award (no. WM140025) holder. R.J.H.D., E.J.K. and P.A.S. are supported by the Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme funded by BEIS and Defra. R.P.A. acknowledges the ERA4CS INDECIS project funded by the European Union grant no. 690462. P.A.O.'G. acknowledges support from NSF AGS-1552195 and the MIT Environmental Solutions Initiative.