Conference Proceedings
Multi-scale predictability of high-impact weather in the battlespace environment
J Doyle, C Reynolds, C Bishop, J Goerss, T Holt, J Mclay
2008 Proceedings of the Department of Defense High Performance Computing Modernization Program Users Group Conference Solving the Hard Problems | IEEE COMPUTER SOC | Published : 2008
Abstract
New capabilities have been developed for the Navy's mesoscale and global weather ensemble forecast systems. Inclusion of model perturbations is found to have a significant impact on both global and mesoscale ensemble performance. New methods for perturbing the initial conditions provide superior ensemble performance. The ensemble systems provide a probabilistic forecast capability for the occurrence of high-impact weather events, along with expected forecast skill information. © 2008 IEEE.