Journal article

Estimating the probability of compound floods in estuarine regions

Wenyan Wu, Seth Westra, Michael Leonard

HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES | COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH | Published : 2021

Abstract

Abstract. The quantification of flood risk in estuarine regions relies on accurate estimation of flood probability, which is often challenging due to the rareness of hazardous flood events and their multi-causal (or “compound”) nature. Failure to consider the compounding nature of estuarine floods can lead to significant underestimation of flood risk in these regions. This study provides a comparative review of alternative approaches for estuarine flood estimation – namely, traditional univariate flood frequency analysis applied to both observed historical data and simulated data, as well as multivariate frequency analysis applied to flood events. Three specific implementations of the above ..

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University of Melbourne Researchers

Grants

Awarded by Australian Research Council


Funding Acknowledgements

This research has been supported by the Australian Research Council (Linkage Project LP150100359).